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Ok, let's evaluate tonight's ESPN matchup between Miami/Pitt.
An inexperienced offensive line, and an inexperienced QB in sophomore Sunseri means to me that Pitt will have limited success both running and passing the ball vs. Miami's pretty tough defense. The 'Canes actually played better defense against OSU than the final score might indicate. They held the Buckeyes to 3.7 yards a carry, and under 50% in completion percentage. Not bad!
Miami has an inexperienced offensive line, but, the more experienced QB in Harris. They have decent running backs. I don't think those running backs will have overwhelming success against a Pitt defense which has become pretty reliable against the run. The difference in this game, in my opinion, and what will make Miami victorious, will be the more steady play of the better QB in the game, Miami's Harris. He faces a Pitt defense which is inexperienced in the CB position.
Pitt is a proud program with an increasing amount of highly recruited players. They are playing on a Thursday night on ESPN, and that gives the clear intangible edge to the Panthers tonight. Without looking at the line, I made Miami a 3.5 favorite. The present line is 3.5, Miami. I feel a slight lean to Miami, but, there will be no recommendation on the game.
Because of Pitt.'s inexperience in the O-Line, and QB, and because I believe Pitt will have some success stopping the rush game of Miami, I'll recommend a 1* play on the under in this game.
Some thoughts on upcoming weekend games: Did you see the very weak schedule the Big 10's playing this week... Is V.T. back, or are they an undeserved favorite at B.C...My big question in the Alabama-Ark. matchup is will Ark. be able to play enough defense to give their prominent offense a chance to keep up...Kentucky has really run the ball well this year, and they have a terrific RB in Locke, but, they haven't played a decent team yet. Their Florida game is interesting because the Gators haven't really played well yet... I'm really looking forward to the S.Caro-Auburn game. Can Auburn Fr. QB Newton keep the magic carpet ride going against the Gamecock tough defense... North Carolina doesn't exist for me anymore this season. I thought this team had a chance to have the best defense in the country, and with 10 starters back on offense, a chance at the National Title. No more. What may have been an interesting matchup vs. Rutgers now means nothing to me. I will not even look at scoring updates on this game... More to come tomorrow night, so, in the meantime, enjoy tonight's Miami/Pitt contest!
Thursday, September 23, 2010
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Keep up the good work. You need a twitter account to pimp this stuff
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