ANATOMY OF A MAJOR PLAY: THIS YEAR'S FIRST!

Like the Colorado-CSU game, I'm going to do a full handicapping analysis on my first MAJOR play of the year, and, it's appropriate that my first MAJOR play involves one of my favorite coaches of all time. The game UCLA vs. KSU.
Again, I did my ratings early on in June on these two teams. At that time, they were pretty even. But, then it was time to check injuries, suspensions, and other roster adjustments( remember, I adjust my ratings WEEKLY during the season). The bootom line: UCLA has had a tremendous amount of attrition at key positions. So, now I ask five key questions in the game: Will KSU run the ball on UCLA? KSU has a 1000 yd. rusher returning, 8 of the top 10 offensive linemen back, and a coach who loves to run vs. a defense that has only ONE returning starter in defensive front seven. YES, KSU will run the ball, and, very effectively. Will KSU pass the ball on UCLA? KSU has a serviceable senior QB, but a lot of inexperience at the receiving corps( no returning starters vs. a team that always plays pretty decent pass defense. KSU's job will be to throw no interceptions, because they will have little success passing the ball. Will UCLA run the ball on KSU? The Bruins have lost 3 projected starters already this year in the offensive line, have barely more than 1 starter back at that position, and they have a weak Rb crew vs. a KSU team that returned to Wildcat style defense in '09, giving up only 105 yards rushing per game. A solid nucleus of returning players in the interior defense means UCLA will have great difficulty rushing the ball. Will UCLA pass the ball on KSU? QB Prince is hurting, and he's not that good regardless of health. His backups have good potential, but, no experience. This could be a weakness for KSU later in the season, but, not Saturday. UCLA will have limited success passing the ball( also note that in Snyder's previous tenure at KSU, his pass defenses were almost always good).
The final question: Who has the tangible advantage in the game? Are you kidding? KSU, and my main man, Bill Snyder, are opening the season at home, in a revenge situation( UCLA beat them at home last year, 23-9), against a LA team that's traveling to one of the most difficult destinations( I mean that literally) in Manhattan, Kansas. The clear tangible edge goes to KSU.
I spent a little time envisioning how the game will be played, and, before knowing what the actual line on the game is, I put the line at KSU -13 over UCLA.
When I saw the actual line opened at -2( and is presently at -1.5 to -2), my firsr MAJOR play of the season was finalized. It's very appropriate that the team I'm backing is coached by one of my favorites of all time, Bill Snyder.
KSU IN A MAJOR PLAY OVER UCLA!