Rutgers hasn't shown great ability to run the ball this year, but, the Huskies haven't shown a great ability to stop the run, so, I will predict Rutgers will have some modest success running the ball. I will predict the same for Rutgers passing offense. They have had no success in that segment of the offense, but, again, UConn has had little success in pass defense. Result: The Scarlet Knights will again have very modest success passing.
UConn has the most dangerous weapon, offensively, on the field for either team in RB Todman. He can conceivably take over the game. But, because I believe Rutgers has played good rush defense this year(held N.C.'s pretty strong offense-10 returning starters-to 87 yards rushing), and because I don't believe UConn will pass the ball enough to offer a well-balanced attack, I'll conclude Rutgers will have decent success against UConn's strongest weapon.
The biggest advantage in this game lies with the intangibles Rutgers holds in their favor. Their coach has a tremendous ATS(ag. the spread) record overall; he's very good ATS after a loss( an embarrassing one at that vs. Tulane); and he's home tonight on ESPN, getting points from a team that's in-conference.
Schiano, of Rutgers, is an excellent coach, and my selection of Rutgers tonight is mainly a product of Schiano's coaching ability, Rutgers home-field advantage, and Rutgers ability to play consistently good defense.
RUTGERS IN A TWO STAR PLAY
Friday, October 8, 2010
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