Each week I log almost all the stats from the previous week's games in my 200 page, 5-subject composition book. I enjoy writing out all the stats, because it gives me an immediate feel for how well a team is playing. I immediately get a feel for how well a team is rushing the ball, or playing pass defense, or if a coach's defense is working.
I started handicapping college football in a serious manner in 1976. I have every one of those composition books in my college football library: from 1976 to the present. I have always said that if my house were ever in danger, after getting my family to safety, I'd go into a burning house for my football books!
With that as a background, even I was amazed last week when I approached the logging of my college stats in a different manner . Usually, I handicap the games chronologically. I start with the 12:00p.m. games and work my way through the schedule. I log the stats at the same time I handicap each game. So, normally, I log the stats, work the game, decide if a game is worthy of a recommendation, and then move on to the next game on the schedule.
Last week, I decided to try something different. I started logging the games on the Sunday right after the games ended on Saturday, with no interest in handicapping each game I was logging, but, simply trying to get the logging of the games done early. On Wednesday, I started handicapping the scheduled games for the upcoming week, but, with the logging of the stats already completed. It was tremendously more relaxing. I had a very good week. It's just one week's results, so I won't jump to any conclusions. But, it does illustrate that no matter how long you've been doing something, it's never too late to learn, or, try something new. I've said( or wrote) this before: one of the things that makes handicapping so much fun, and challenging is the necessity to be willing to change or adjust your techniques, and that includes something you've been doing the same for 34+years!
LaTech has played two pretty decent games in a row vs. Utah St. and Idaho, and, believe it, or not, I believe it helped make this line lower than it should be. LaTech is stepping up in very serious class tonight against a Boise St. team that needs as many beauty points as necessary to stay in BCS contention, and is 13-7 the last five years as an in-conference, home favorite.
Against the decent defenses of A&M and So.MIss, LaT only gained 61, and 47 yards on the ground. Expect similar results tonight against a very good Boise defense.
LaTech has played rotten defense to date. A bad track record when facing one of the most potent, and experienced, offenses in the country, and doing so on that Bronco Blue Carpet!
ONE STAR PLAY ON BOISE ST. OVER LaTECH
Tuesday, October 26, 2010
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment