Stanford plays at Washington this Thursday, Sept. 27th. Here is my step-by-step approach in handicapping this important Pac10 contest(of course, any game I handicap is an important game).
I completed the ratings on each of these teams during the summer. My job now is to adjust those ratings to reflect what has happened to each team to date.
What I did tonight was check the injury status of each team's roster. What I found: Stanford has almost no issues on the injury front. Washington has lost wr Johnson, who caught 28 passes in '11, and rb Jesse Collier. Collier's loss is significant because the Huskies had already lost their 1500 yard-rusher from '11, Chris Polk, and have now lost their #2 rb as well. I haven't adjusted ratings yet, but, my feel is these injuries will lower Washington's ratings slightly.
I've mentioned on many occasions, I have hand-written stats I log for each game played( I have notebooks I've saved that go back 30+years). I have updated the stats for both the Cardinal and Huskie games, respectively. Without making any final judgements, it's obvious from the stats I've entered into my Temple, 200 page notebook , Stanford has been the more impressive team to date.
It's extremely early in the season, so my job now is to update the ratings, based on the information I've just gathered, and try not to be overly influenced by anything that's happened.
I'll be back during the week to update you on the anatomy of a handicapped game. In this case, the contest between Stanford-Washington.
Monday, September 24, 2012
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