UConn over Maryland: I went to sleep Friday night pretty sure I had no interest in game. Huskies a road favorite, with a sub-par QB. I have to work my real-life job on Saturdays. I decided while working, to re-consider this contest. I have this process I go through while handicapping games where I ask myself the following questions( I had already worked this game Friday night, so didn't need my books). I applied it to UConn-Mary. Will UConn run the ball on Mary.(relatively)? Will UConn pass the ball on Mary.(No)? Will Mary. run the ball on UConn(No)? Will Mary. pass the ball on UConn(No)? Who has the better incentives in the game?
UConn became a recommendation because I thought they'd have relative success running the ball, they had the slightly better defense, and the Huskies had the clear incentive advantage in the game.Coach Edsall of Mary. left his UConn job immediately after their Fiesta Bowl loss to Oklahoma and never said goodbye to his players. There were some -2.5s out there and that's the line I got. I hope it's the line you got, and not a -3, which would have produced a Push. I'd pick UConn again!
UConn/Maryland under the totals: 2 rotten offenses vs. 2 pretty good defenses are good reasons to go under. 395 total yards in game should have gotten me the cover. It didn't.
B.C. over Northwestern: Eagles have 17 starters back from last year, including a returning starter at QB. Okay, QB Rettig's career has been mediocre, but, he is a multiple-year starter, and BC brought in a new Offensive Coordinator who is supposed to be a QB developer. Also, Northwestern, came into the game as a favorite, first time this year, so I thought everything was set up nice for the Eagles. Most disappointing loss of the week
Stanford over USC: I leaned Cardinal, but, I guess I allowed USC hype, and serious revenge motives for Trojans to trump the fact I had Stanford rated higher than USC. Trust your ratings?
Stanford/USC over the totals: Surprised how many injuries USC had on defense, and, supposed proficiency of Trojan offense, led to lean, but, not recommendation on the over. I'd probably do it again, but, was surprised by how physical Stanford played. Don't expect that from a West Coast team.
MSU over Notre Dame: Defense and RB Bell were my reasons for MSU recommendation. After all, that supposed good D was playing a freshman QB. Spartan QB was so bad, however, I never felt my pick had a chance.
Monday, September 17, 2012
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