As I mention on many occasions, I try to do ratings on every FBS team. I start those rartings in early July. I estimate I spend about 40 minutes per team. Do the math, and you'll see I put in about 75 hours on my ratings leading up to the season.
Ratings are one of the key tools I use when I handicap a game.
In tomorrow's contest between N.C.St and Connecticut, my ratings on each team are a big factor in my selection. UConn is the higher rated team , according to my rating system, and as an extra bonus, they are at home as an underdog.
If UConn wins tomorrow it will have to be with a solid running game, which they can accomplish with 1000 yard-rusher McCoombs, minimal mistakes from young QB Whitmer, and a tough defense, which they are capable of playing with 8+ returning starters on defense.
Other factors I hope are in my favor are the facts coach O'Brien is very good as a coach "against the spread," but, not so as an away favorite. He's rarely put in that role, and when he has been at N.C.St, he's 0-4 in that spot. Conversely, coach Pasqualoni of UConn, in his previous coaching role at Syracuse, was one of the top spread coaches of his time. In his second year at UConn, I'm hoping, and expecting, similar spread results.
I'm taking the higher rated team, and the squad that comes into this game as a home underdog: the UConn Huskies!
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