Texas Tech is the comfortably higher rated team in this matchup vs. ISU under my College Edge team ratings. They have a host of returning starters, which include a very good QB in Seth Doege. I think it's important that so many starters return for Texas Tech(15.5), better to remember the whuppin' they took at the hands of ISU last year(7-41), at home.
TEXAS TECH IS THE RECOMMENDATION
Saturday, September 29, 2012
Friday, September 28, 2012
#CollegeEdge Early Sat. Recommendations(Comp!)
Minny vs. Iowa: Minny is without double threat quarterback Gray. Iowa has played mediocre in the early going, but, the Hawkeyes have the much better quarterback, the better defense, and a coach in Kirk Ferentz who has been unreal in the last 10 years vs. the spread, after a loss( 24-10). IOWA IS THE RECOMMENDATION.
N.C.St. vs. Miami: I have the Wolfpack rated higher than the Hurricanes. They are also the underdogs in this contest. It doesn't hurt that St. coach O'Brien has always been very good in the role of a road underdog at both Boston College and N.C.St.( 13-8 in that spot at Raleigh). N.C.ST. IS THE RECOMMENDATION.
Duke vs. Wake Forest: Both teams are prolific at passing the ball with good, experienced QBs(Price and Renfroe) leading the way. Neither team has a particularly strong defense. OVER THE TOTALS IS THE RECOMMENDATION.
N.C.St. vs. Miami: I have the Wolfpack rated higher than the Hurricanes. They are also the underdogs in this contest. It doesn't hurt that St. coach O'Brien has always been very good in the role of a road underdog at both Boston College and N.C.St.( 13-8 in that spot at Raleigh). N.C.ST. IS THE RECOMMENDATION.
Duke vs. Wake Forest: Both teams are prolific at passing the ball with good, experienced QBs(Price and Renfroe) leading the way. Neither team has a particularly strong defense. OVER THE TOTALS IS THE RECOMMENDATION.
#CollegeEdge Picks #Hawaii-#BYU: #TheRecommendation
Two inexperienced quarterbacks will get the starts in tonight's Hawaii-BYU game. Both teams have only 1.5 starters back on each offensive line, and neither team has a better than average running game.
I really like BYU's defense and don't expect Hawaii to have great success tonight, offensively. I am not as confident in Hawaii's defense, but, I am counting on BYU's inexperience to keep the Cougar score relatively low. I'm expecting a BYU win, probably in the neighborhood of 35-10.
THE RECOMMENDATION IN TONIGHT'S HAWAII-BYU CONTEST: UNDER THE TOTALS.
I like BYU to win the game handily tonight, but, I just can't give 25 points in a game most likely started by a freshman quarterback
I really like BYU's defense and don't expect Hawaii to have great success tonight, offensively. I am not as confident in Hawaii's defense, but, I am counting on BYU's inexperience to keep the Cougar score relatively low. I'm expecting a BYU win, probably in the neighborhood of 35-10.
THE RECOMMENDATION IN TONIGHT'S HAWAII-BYU CONTEST: UNDER THE TOTALS.
I like BYU to win the game handily tonight, but, I just can't give 25 points in a game most likely started by a freshman quarterback
#Anatomy of a Handicapped Game, The Results:Stanford at Washington
I WON!
So, why do I feel like I lost?
The answer is matchups like Stanford - Washington are the kind of games that test a handicapper's soul.
I had Washington rated higher than Stanford after the I updated the injury and statistical reports on both teams early in the week. Most times that would've been enough to make a recommendation on the Huskies. But, I kept coming back to that "friggin'" game Stanford played vs. USC. I thought the Cardinal played surprisingly good that day, particularly on defense. SO, I looked further into the PAC 10 matchup, and after asking my myself the five questions I referred to during my series on handicapping the game, I made the decision to stay away from a side.(WE DID GIVE OUT THE UNDER IN THE GAME AS A RECOMMENDATION).
Even though I felt my reasoning was sound to let Washington go as a side in the game, it hurt when the Washington Huskies not only covered, but, won their game, OUTRIGHT.
Consequently, because I put some much weight in my team ratings, it is a constant battle for this handicapper to decide when to, straight-up, go with what those ratings tell me, or, look further into the numbers.
Well, last night, I decided to look further into the numbers, and it probably resulted in my going 1-0 on the night instead of 2-0.
You know what: I'll come across the situation again, and when it does, I'll be tested all over again. I guess it's what makes all this so friggin' challenging.
So, why do I feel like I lost?
The answer is matchups like Stanford - Washington are the kind of games that test a handicapper's soul.
I had Washington rated higher than Stanford after the I updated the injury and statistical reports on both teams early in the week. Most times that would've been enough to make a recommendation on the Huskies. But, I kept coming back to that "friggin'" game Stanford played vs. USC. I thought the Cardinal played surprisingly good that day, particularly on defense. SO, I looked further into the PAC 10 matchup, and after asking my myself the five questions I referred to during my series on handicapping the game, I made the decision to stay away from a side.(WE DID GIVE OUT THE UNDER IN THE GAME AS A RECOMMENDATION).
Even though I felt my reasoning was sound to let Washington go as a side in the game, it hurt when the Washington Huskies not only covered, but, won their game, OUTRIGHT.
Consequently, because I put some much weight in my team ratings, it is a constant battle for this handicapper to decide when to, straight-up, go with what those ratings tell me, or, look further into the numbers.
Well, last night, I decided to look further into the numbers, and it probably resulted in my going 1-0 on the night instead of 2-0.
You know what: I'll come across the situation again, and when it does, I'll be tested all over again. I guess it's what makes all this so friggin' challenging.
Thursday, September 27, 2012
#Anatomy of a Handicapped Game: #TheRecommendation(Stanford-Wash.)
Will Stanford run the ball on Washington? Yes
Will Stanford pass the ball on Washington? This is new starting QB Nunes' first game on the road, and he's without the top 3 receivers from last year's squad. Minimal success passing the ball.
Will Washington run the ball on Stanford? Probably not
Will Washington pass the ball on Stanford? If they move the ball tonight, it will have to be with the experienced QB Price leading the way. He'll have some success tonight, but, not enough to make me confident.
Which team has the emotional edge in tonight's contest? Washington's home for an ESPN, Thursday night game. They were also creamed by the Cardinal last year, 62-21. The emotional edge goes to the Huskies.
The Recommendation: See, what did I write you about my being a slave to my ratings? I have Washington rated higher than Stanford in my College Edge team ratings, but, when asking myself the key questions above, I've just come to the realization that Stanford has the better running game and the better defense. Even though I believe Washington has the edge at quarterback, and Stanford's QB Nunes is starting his first game on the road, I feel too queasy about the Huskies' running game and defense to give them out as a recommendation. No recommendation on a side in this Pac10 matchup.
Because QB Nunes is on the Pac10 road for the first time as a starter, and because I do believe Washington will have trouble both running and passing tonight, the College Edge RECOMMENDS THE UNDER( the totals) in tonight's exciting Pac10, ESPN, Thursday night matchup!
Will Stanford pass the ball on Washington? This is new starting QB Nunes' first game on the road, and he's without the top 3 receivers from last year's squad. Minimal success passing the ball.
Will Washington run the ball on Stanford? Probably not
Will Washington pass the ball on Stanford? If they move the ball tonight, it will have to be with the experienced QB Price leading the way. He'll have some success tonight, but, not enough to make me confident.
Which team has the emotional edge in tonight's contest? Washington's home for an ESPN, Thursday night game. They were also creamed by the Cardinal last year, 62-21. The emotional edge goes to the Huskies.
The Recommendation: See, what did I write you about my being a slave to my ratings? I have Washington rated higher than Stanford in my College Edge team ratings, but, when asking myself the key questions above, I've just come to the realization that Stanford has the better running game and the better defense. Even though I believe Washington has the edge at quarterback, and Stanford's QB Nunes is starting his first game on the road, I feel too queasy about the Huskies' running game and defense to give them out as a recommendation. No recommendation on a side in this Pac10 matchup.
Because QB Nunes is on the Pac10 road for the first time as a starter, and because I do believe Washington will have trouble both running and passing tonight, the College Edge RECOMMENDS THE UNDER( the totals) in tonight's exciting Pac10, ESPN, Thursday night matchup!
Wednesday, September 26, 2012
#Anatomy of a Handicapped Game Part III: #Stanford-#Washington
Sometimes I do all the preliminary work on a game( update injuries, stats, and ratings), and the ratings on each team tell me all I need to know. The Oregon St. pick over UCLA was an example of this type of conclusion. Oregon St. was the higher rated team. The Beavers were an overwhelming dog. They were my pick. No Doubts.
In the case of Stanford-Washington, my ratings aren't as clear. I have the Huskies rated higher than Stanford, but, I saw that friggin' game they played against USC. The Cardinal appeared to be pretty good in that game, even though I try not to let one game overly influence my views. In light of my doubt about my own ratings on this Thursday night matchup, I go to the next step of my handicapping process: the self-test.
Many of you have read about the five questions I ask myself when making my final decision, but, for those of you new to them, here they are:
1) Will Stanford run the ball on Washington?
2) Will Washington run the ball on Stanford?
3) Will Stanford pass the ball on Washington?
4) Will Washington pass the ball on Stanford?
5) Does either team have an emotional edge in the game?
Here's what's cool about this part of handicapping a game. Often times, I like to leave my desk, go to a quiet place,or, while I'm driving somewhere, or, while I'm working, envision the game while asking myself these five questions.
Sometime tonight, or, while driving to work early tomorrow morning I will ask myself these questions. They will help me with my final conclusion. I'm admittedly leaning a certain way right now. Which team will I recommend?
In the case of Stanford-Washington, my ratings aren't as clear. I have the Huskies rated higher than Stanford, but, I saw that friggin' game they played against USC. The Cardinal appeared to be pretty good in that game, even though I try not to let one game overly influence my views. In light of my doubt about my own ratings on this Thursday night matchup, I go to the next step of my handicapping process: the self-test.
Many of you have read about the five questions I ask myself when making my final decision, but, for those of you new to them, here they are:
1) Will Stanford run the ball on Washington?
2) Will Washington run the ball on Stanford?
3) Will Stanford pass the ball on Washington?
4) Will Washington pass the ball on Stanford?
5) Does either team have an emotional edge in the game?
Here's what's cool about this part of handicapping a game. Often times, I like to leave my desk, go to a quiet place,or, while I'm driving somewhere, or, while I'm working, envision the game while asking myself these five questions.
Sometime tonight, or, while driving to work early tomorrow morning I will ask myself these questions. They will help me with my final conclusion. I'm admittedly leaning a certain way right now. Which team will I recommend?
Tuesday, September 25, 2012
The Anatomy of a Handicapped Game Part II: Stanford vs. Washington
Alright, I updated the stats on Washington's and Stanford's games, and, as mentioned, checked the injury reports.
Now, it's time to update the ratings on each team. I made no major adjustments on Stanford's College Edge team ratings. I assumed I would increase my numbers on the Cardinal's new starting QB, considering their 3-0 record, but, surprisingly, his stats were mediocre, at best.
No major adjustments were made on the Washington team ratings, but, they were lowered slightly with the prior mentioned injuries, and a small lowering of my numbers on the Huskies' starting QB, who had a decent game vs. SDSU, but, a bad game against LSU( not unusual; Tiger defense outstanding). Okay, time to add the adjusted ratings for each team.
I added up my Stanford numbers. Now, my own excitement builds as I add up my Washington numbers, and factor in that the Huskies are playing home, in a conference game. Which team do you think had the higher College Edge team rating?
The surprising answer: the Washington Huskies.
If you think that means Washington is the automatic recommendation, you are wrong. I absolutely respect the fact the Seattle team is rated higher than Stanford, but, I'm not a slave to my ratings. They are THE major tool in the handicapping process, but, not the be-all, end-all. What comes next in the handicapping process is sitting back, relaxing, and asking myself some key questions concerning the PAC 10 match-up. Those questions will be asked in Part III of "The Anatomy of a Handicapped Game...." Will the answers to those questions trump the fact I have Washington rated higher than Stanford? We'll see. I'm excited to find out myself!
Now, it's time to update the ratings on each team. I made no major adjustments on Stanford's College Edge team ratings. I assumed I would increase my numbers on the Cardinal's new starting QB, considering their 3-0 record, but, surprisingly, his stats were mediocre, at best.
No major adjustments were made on the Washington team ratings, but, they were lowered slightly with the prior mentioned injuries, and a small lowering of my numbers on the Huskies' starting QB, who had a decent game vs. SDSU, but, a bad game against LSU( not unusual; Tiger defense outstanding). Okay, time to add the adjusted ratings for each team.
I added up my Stanford numbers. Now, my own excitement builds as I add up my Washington numbers, and factor in that the Huskies are playing home, in a conference game. Which team do you think had the higher College Edge team rating?
The surprising answer: the Washington Huskies.
If you think that means Washington is the automatic recommendation, you are wrong. I absolutely respect the fact the Seattle team is rated higher than Stanford, but, I'm not a slave to my ratings. They are THE major tool in the handicapping process, but, not the be-all, end-all. What comes next in the handicapping process is sitting back, relaxing, and asking myself some key questions concerning the PAC 10 match-up. Those questions will be asked in Part III of "The Anatomy of a Handicapped Game...." Will the answers to those questions trump the fact I have Washington rated higher than Stanford? We'll see. I'm excited to find out myself!
Monday, September 24, 2012
The Anatomy of a Handicapped Game:#Stanford-#Wash:PartI
Stanford plays at Washington this Thursday, Sept. 27th. Here is my step-by-step approach in handicapping this important Pac10 contest(of course, any game I handicap is an important game).
I completed the ratings on each of these teams during the summer. My job now is to adjust those ratings to reflect what has happened to each team to date.
What I did tonight was check the injury status of each team's roster. What I found: Stanford has almost no issues on the injury front. Washington has lost wr Johnson, who caught 28 passes in '11, and rb Jesse Collier. Collier's loss is significant because the Huskies had already lost their 1500 yard-rusher from '11, Chris Polk, and have now lost their #2 rb as well. I haven't adjusted ratings yet, but, my feel is these injuries will lower Washington's ratings slightly.
I've mentioned on many occasions, I have hand-written stats I log for each game played( I have notebooks I've saved that go back 30+years). I have updated the stats for both the Cardinal and Huskie games, respectively. Without making any final judgements, it's obvious from the stats I've entered into my Temple, 200 page notebook , Stanford has been the more impressive team to date.
It's extremely early in the season, so my job now is to update the ratings, based on the information I've just gathered, and try not to be overly influenced by anything that's happened.
I'll be back during the week to update you on the anatomy of a handicapped game. In this case, the contest between Stanford-Washington.
I completed the ratings on each of these teams during the summer. My job now is to adjust those ratings to reflect what has happened to each team to date.
What I did tonight was check the injury status of each team's roster. What I found: Stanford has almost no issues on the injury front. Washington has lost wr Johnson, who caught 28 passes in '11, and rb Jesse Collier. Collier's loss is significant because the Huskies had already lost their 1500 yard-rusher from '11, Chris Polk, and have now lost their #2 rb as well. I haven't adjusted ratings yet, but, my feel is these injuries will lower Washington's ratings slightly.
I've mentioned on many occasions, I have hand-written stats I log for each game played( I have notebooks I've saved that go back 30+years). I have updated the stats for both the Cardinal and Huskie games, respectively. Without making any final judgements, it's obvious from the stats I've entered into my Temple, 200 page notebook , Stanford has been the more impressive team to date.
It's extremely early in the season, so my job now is to update the ratings, based on the information I've just gathered, and try not to be overly influenced by anything that's happened.
I'll be back during the week to update you on the anatomy of a handicapped game. In this case, the contest between Stanford-Washington.
Saturday, September 22, 2012
#CollegeEdge Picks #Michigan- #NotreDame
Am I being stubborn? I think Notre Dame is overrated. It didn't show up last week in their game vs. MSU. I think part of the reason for the Irish success was the absolutely inept play of QB Maxwell. Notre Dame plays a much better QB tonight in Dennard Robinson.
N.D.'s offense was almost nonexistent last week, but, wasn't noticed because of the big win.
The higher rated team is getting points in this game, according to my College Edge team ratings.
The pick tonight is Michigan.
N.D.'s offense was almost nonexistent last week, but, wasn't noticed because of the big win.
The higher rated team is getting points in this game, according to my College Edge team ratings.
The pick tonight is Michigan.
#CollegeEdge & #EdgySam pick #Cal-#USC
USC has some key injuries on defense, and is slowly suffering from lack of depth on that side of the ball. Cal has only 5 starters back on their defensive squad, and, in games played versus quality opponents, the Golden Bear "D" has left much to be desired.
On the offensive sides of the ball, both teams have returning quarterbacks, very good running backs, and talented receivers. Both teams should score in abundance.
I thought last week's USC game should have been an over the totals contest. It disappointingly was not. I feel even stronger this week it will be a high scoring game.
USC/California over the totals is the recommendation.
On the offensive sides of the ball, both teams have returning quarterbacks, very good running backs, and talented receivers. Both teams should score in abundance.
I thought last week's USC game should have been an over the totals contest. It disappointingly was not. I feel even stronger this week it will be a high scoring game.
USC/California over the totals is the recommendation.
#CollegeEdge Picks #OregonSt at #UCLA
Two of UCLA's 3 wins were against Rice and Houston. Those decisive wins have inflated the line on this game. Oregon St is the higher rated team under my rating system and the Beavers should be the favorite.
Oregon St. is the pick!
Oregon St. is the pick!
#TheCollegeEdge Picks Three Early Games
In the early games, I'm going to go with three teams favored by double digit spreads. The similarity in all three games is the College Edge is going with teams that can score, but, also play good defense. In all three games, we're going against teams that have little abilty to score. With the exception of Maryland, we are also going against teams that have shown little abilty in playing defense.
We like Florida, West Virginia, and Ohio St. over Kentucky, Maryland, and UAB, respectively. In all three cases, I don't see how any of these teams can score enough to keep any of these games from being high scoring losses. In all three cases, the spreads are fairly high, so let's hope each of the high-powered offenses establish their dominance early.
An interesting side note to each of these games: all three lines have come down. I usually like it when the public is against me. Let's see if it's a good omen in these contests.
Call 267-752-3343 at 11:45a.m., for the day's phone schedule, a synopsis of most of the early games, and some possible late recommendations.
We like Florida, West Virginia, and Ohio St. over Kentucky, Maryland, and UAB, respectively. In all three cases, I don't see how any of these teams can score enough to keep any of these games from being high scoring losses. In all three cases, the spreads are fairly high, so let's hope each of the high-powered offenses establish their dominance early.
An interesting side note to each of these games: all three lines have come down. I usually like it when the public is against me. Let's see if it's a good omen in these contests.
Call 267-752-3343 at 11:45a.m., for the day's phone schedule, a synopsis of most of the early games, and some possible late recommendations.
Thursday, September 20, 2012
#CollegeEdge Picks #BYU-#BoiseSt
I'm taking my handicapping life in my hands when I decide to go against the Boise St Broncos( aw crap, they're home, too), but, that's what I'm doing tonight as I select the BYU Cougars to get the cover in tonight's ESPN matchup.
BYU has the more experienced QB, and the more experienced, and yes, better defense. Boise St. is dangerous tonight, but, they have a new starter at QB( he leads a total of only 4 starters back on offense), and a very inexperienced defense, with only 3 starters returning from the '11 squad.
Under my College Edge team ratings, I have BYU rated higher than Boise St., and, I get the bonus of getting points.
You have to have guts to go with what your work tells you, and, my work tells me the right side tonight are the BYU Cougars.
( I was a little worried how BYU might play after playing rival Utah last week, but, in games after the Utah game, BYU is 2-0 vs. the spread and straight-up. In 3 of those years, the Utah game was the last game of the year)
BYU has the more experienced QB, and the more experienced, and yes, better defense. Boise St. is dangerous tonight, but, they have a new starter at QB( he leads a total of only 4 starters back on offense), and a very inexperienced defense, with only 3 starters returning from the '11 squad.
Under my College Edge team ratings, I have BYU rated higher than Boise St., and, I get the bonus of getting points.
You have to have guts to go with what your work tells you, and, my work tells me the right side tonight are the BYU Cougars.
( I was a little worried how BYU might play after playing rival Utah last week, but, in games after the Utah game, BYU is 2-0 vs. the spread and straight-up. In 3 of those years, the Utah game was the last game of the year)
Tuesday, September 18, 2012
An Early #CollegeEdge Pick for #KentSt-#Buffalo
Just finished the work on Kent St. vs. Buffalo and anxious to release this game now!
Buffalo has the best offensive player on the field in RB Brandon Oliver(1444 yards rushing in '11). Buffalo has the best defensive player on the field in LB Khalil Mack. They also have that magical number of 4 starting offensive line starters back. An extra bonus in this pick is I have the Bulls rated decently higher than their MAC opponents under my rating system.
Look, Kent St. has a decent amount of starters back too, and usually plays pretty good defense, but, RB Oliver of Buffalo gained 111 yards vs. Georgia. I believe he'll do better against his MAC opponent.
As most of you have who followed me through the years knows, I very rarely work the MAC Conference when they play their BCS-level opponents. The talent level just doesn't match up when they step up in class. I absolutely enjoy working the MAC Conference games when the teams are playing each other because the athletes each team recruits are about the same.
In my first MAC Conference pick of 2012, I'm taking Buffalo. If the spread is -3.5, I would buy the 1/2 point.
Buffalo has the best offensive player on the field in RB Brandon Oliver(1444 yards rushing in '11). Buffalo has the best defensive player on the field in LB Khalil Mack. They also have that magical number of 4 starting offensive line starters back. An extra bonus in this pick is I have the Bulls rated decently higher than their MAC opponents under my rating system.
Look, Kent St. has a decent amount of starters back too, and usually plays pretty good defense, but, RB Oliver of Buffalo gained 111 yards vs. Georgia. I believe he'll do better against his MAC opponent.
As most of you have who followed me through the years knows, I very rarely work the MAC Conference when they play their BCS-level opponents. The talent level just doesn't match up when they step up in class. I absolutely enjoy working the MAC Conference games when the teams are playing each other because the athletes each team recruits are about the same.
In my first MAC Conference pick of 2012, I'm taking Buffalo. If the spread is -3.5, I would buy the 1/2 point.
#CollegeEdge: Our Comp MLB Picks for Tuesday
Edgysam does one form of handicapping only: college football. But, I have an NFL and MLB guru in Greg, who went 3-2 during the weekend in the NFL, and since Sept. 10th is +$302.00 for our theoretical $100.00 player in MLB.
We have a revised offer that we feel is pretty exciting and very affordable, and which we will post at all of our venues tomorrow and which will include both the NFL and MLB. Stay tuned for it.
Tonight, do as I do every time Greg sends me his picks: enjoy his selections! Here they are:
Oakland over Detroit
TampaBay over Boston Red Sox
San Diego over Arizona
In all games, go with the pitchers originally scheduled.
We have a revised offer that we feel is pretty exciting and very affordable, and which we will post at all of our venues tomorrow and which will include both the NFL and MLB. Stay tuned for it.
Tonight, do as I do every time Greg sends me his picks: enjoy his selections! Here they are:
Oakland over Detroit
TampaBay over Boston Red Sox
San Diego over Arizona
In all games, go with the pitchers originally scheduled.
Monday, September 17, 2012
#CollegeEdge Picks(and Pans)Week3: PartIII
Utah over BYU: Sometimes you just think yourself right out of a pick. I had the Utes in a lean, another team I had as a higher rated team on Saturday, and getting points, a usually great situation. I kept it from being a recommendation because Jordan Wynn, Utah's starting QB, had a career-ending shoulder injury. Even though they had a capable backup, I was wary of how his teammates would react to that major of an injury to a teammate, and I remembered BYU got their butts kicked the prior year by Utah, 54-10. Revenge in the "Holy War," was a primary consideration. So, did I overreact? Darn right I did.
#CollegeEdge Week3 Picks(and Pans): Part II
UConn over Maryland: I went to sleep Friday night pretty sure I had no interest in game. Huskies a road favorite, with a sub-par QB. I have to work my real-life job on Saturdays. I decided while working, to re-consider this contest. I have this process I go through while handicapping games where I ask myself the following questions( I had already worked this game Friday night, so didn't need my books). I applied it to UConn-Mary. Will UConn run the ball on Mary.(relatively)? Will UConn pass the ball on Mary.(No)? Will Mary. run the ball on UConn(No)? Will Mary. pass the ball on UConn(No)? Who has the better incentives in the game?
UConn became a recommendation because I thought they'd have relative success running the ball, they had the slightly better defense, and the Huskies had the clear incentive advantage in the game.Coach Edsall of Mary. left his UConn job immediately after their Fiesta Bowl loss to Oklahoma and never said goodbye to his players. There were some -2.5s out there and that's the line I got. I hope it's the line you got, and not a -3, which would have produced a Push. I'd pick UConn again!
UConn/Maryland under the totals: 2 rotten offenses vs. 2 pretty good defenses are good reasons to go under. 395 total yards in game should have gotten me the cover. It didn't.
B.C. over Northwestern: Eagles have 17 starters back from last year, including a returning starter at QB. Okay, QB Rettig's career has been mediocre, but, he is a multiple-year starter, and BC brought in a new Offensive Coordinator who is supposed to be a QB developer. Also, Northwestern, came into the game as a favorite, first time this year, so I thought everything was set up nice for the Eagles. Most disappointing loss of the week
Stanford over USC: I leaned Cardinal, but, I guess I allowed USC hype, and serious revenge motives for Trojans to trump the fact I had Stanford rated higher than USC. Trust your ratings?
Stanford/USC over the totals: Surprised how many injuries USC had on defense, and, supposed proficiency of Trojan offense, led to lean, but, not recommendation on the over. I'd probably do it again, but, was surprised by how physical Stanford played. Don't expect that from a West Coast team.
MSU over Notre Dame: Defense and RB Bell were my reasons for MSU recommendation. After all, that supposed good D was playing a freshman QB. Spartan QB was so bad, however, I never felt my pick had a chance.
UConn became a recommendation because I thought they'd have relative success running the ball, they had the slightly better defense, and the Huskies had the clear incentive advantage in the game.Coach Edsall of Mary. left his UConn job immediately after their Fiesta Bowl loss to Oklahoma and never said goodbye to his players. There were some -2.5s out there and that's the line I got. I hope it's the line you got, and not a -3, which would have produced a Push. I'd pick UConn again!
UConn/Maryland under the totals: 2 rotten offenses vs. 2 pretty good defenses are good reasons to go under. 395 total yards in game should have gotten me the cover. It didn't.
B.C. over Northwestern: Eagles have 17 starters back from last year, including a returning starter at QB. Okay, QB Rettig's career has been mediocre, but, he is a multiple-year starter, and BC brought in a new Offensive Coordinator who is supposed to be a QB developer. Also, Northwestern, came into the game as a favorite, first time this year, so I thought everything was set up nice for the Eagles. Most disappointing loss of the week
Stanford over USC: I leaned Cardinal, but, I guess I allowed USC hype, and serious revenge motives for Trojans to trump the fact I had Stanford rated higher than USC. Trust your ratings?
Stanford/USC over the totals: Surprised how many injuries USC had on defense, and, supposed proficiency of Trojan offense, led to lean, but, not recommendation on the over. I'd probably do it again, but, was surprised by how physical Stanford played. Don't expect that from a West Coast team.
MSU over Notre Dame: Defense and RB Bell were my reasons for MSU recommendation. After all, that supposed good D was playing a freshman QB. Spartan QB was so bad, however, I never felt my pick had a chance.
My Week 3 Picks(and Pans). A Review
USF over Rutgers: In week2, I went with USF over Nevada, and, QB BJ Daniels came through for me. But, when you're dealing with Daniels, you go into each USF recommendation knowing as Daniels goes, so go the chances of your recommendation. The 4-yr-starter came up real small for me vs. Rutgers.
FSU over Wake: I leaned Seminoles, and said on phone line I thought they'd romp over Deacons. I kept it from being a recommendation because of my fear of back-door cover by expd. Wake QB Tanner Price. Fear unfounded.
Pitt over V.T.: I had Pitt rated higher than V.T., therefore, my lean to Panthers. Thursday night loss to Cincy was too scary to give them out as recommendation. Lesson: don't give much excessive credibility to early season performances.
Army over No.Illinois: I really like service academies that have a returning starter at QB. Steelman is a 4-yr. starter. The Huskies had a slew of starters back on defense, hence the Cadet lean, but not recommendation. I will come back to Army during the year.
Ohio St. over Cal.: I had Buckeyes rated much higher than Golden Bears, therefore my lean to the well-coached Big10 representative. My respect for Cal's coach Tedford, experience at the QB and RB positions, and the quality of Cal's recruits kept it from a recommendation.
Time to eat dinner. More to come in next blog.
FSU over Wake: I leaned Seminoles, and said on phone line I thought they'd romp over Deacons. I kept it from being a recommendation because of my fear of back-door cover by expd. Wake QB Tanner Price. Fear unfounded.
Pitt over V.T.: I had Pitt rated higher than V.T., therefore, my lean to Panthers. Thursday night loss to Cincy was too scary to give them out as recommendation. Lesson: don't give much excessive credibility to early season performances.
Army over No.Illinois: I really like service academies that have a returning starter at QB. Steelman is a 4-yr. starter. The Huskies had a slew of starters back on defense, hence the Cadet lean, but not recommendation. I will come back to Army during the year.
Ohio St. over Cal.: I had Buckeyes rated much higher than Golden Bears, therefore my lean to the well-coached Big10 representative. My respect for Cal's coach Tedford, experience at the QB and RB positions, and the quality of Cal's recruits kept it from a recommendation.
Time to eat dinner. More to come in next blog.
Friday, September 14, 2012
#CollegeEdge Picks #UConn-#Maryland
Both teams have young, sub-standard QBs(UConn's Whitmer is a soph; Mary.'s Hills is a freshman); both teams have an average to below average running attack; both teams have pretty good defenses. Both teams, especially UConn, should play to their capabilities, as Edsall hosts the team he unceremoniously left following the Huskies' loss to Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl.
In the most interesting match-up of the early games, I like the under in the UConn-Maryland game, even though the totals line is one of the lowest I've seen in FBS play.
Call at 11:45a.m. at 267-752-3343 for more potential, early recommendations.
In the most interesting match-up of the early games, I like the under in the UConn-Maryland game, even though the totals line is one of the lowest I've seen in FBS play.
Call at 11:45a.m. at 267-752-3343 for more potential, early recommendations.
#CollegeEdge Looks at #WSU vs. #UNLV
Coach Mike Leach is one of my favorite coaches of all time. I believe he did a great job at Texas Tech, and will do a great job at WSU. I just believe he has work to do, and I won't allow my admiration for Leach's ability as a coach cloud my vision as to the hard work he has yet to do at Wash. St.
The Cougars are without their starting QB tonight, and there is absolutely no part of the team I trust to get the job done vs. UNLV, or, for the time being, any other team on the WSU schedule. I'm willing to sit back and see if Leach's squad attains any particular personality as the season progresses. Consequently, I can't take a team I know almost nothing about, as a road favorite, regardless of who the Cougs are playing.
UNLV has been plain horrible over the years, despite the fact you would assume the glitz of LasVegas would be a fantastic recruiting tool. It hasn't been. The Rebels lost last week to No.Arizona. How could anyone, myself included, give out UNLV under any circumstances? I can't!
This might be the first weeknight, ESPN game I will take a complete pass on, but, considering the quality of the game tonight, I will be happy to do so, and concentrate my efforts tonight on tomorrow's early games.
The Cougars are without their starting QB tonight, and there is absolutely no part of the team I trust to get the job done vs. UNLV, or, for the time being, any other team on the WSU schedule. I'm willing to sit back and see if Leach's squad attains any particular personality as the season progresses. Consequently, I can't take a team I know almost nothing about, as a road favorite, regardless of who the Cougs are playing.
UNLV has been plain horrible over the years, despite the fact you would assume the glitz of LasVegas would be a fantastic recruiting tool. It hasn't been. The Rebels lost last week to No.Arizona. How could anyone, myself included, give out UNLV under any circumstances? I can't!
This might be the first weeknight, ESPN game I will take a complete pass on, but, considering the quality of the game tonight, I will be happy to do so, and concentrate my efforts tonight on tomorrow's early games.
Thursday, September 13, 2012
#Rutgers- #USF Pick Courtesy of #CollegeEdge
I just read a preview of the Rutgers-USF, Big East contest. It mentioned Rutgers tough defense. It mentioned the strong, early play of USF QB Daniels, a three-year starter, and the solid play of the offense Daniels leads. It also mentioned the weak offense that Rutgers will probably have tonight and for the season.
What they didn't mention is the vast difference tonight in coaching experience.
USF has a very good coach in Skip Holtz, with an experienced coaching staff on both the offensive and the defensive sides of the ball.
Rutgers lost a VERY GOOD coach in Schiano, and the Scarlet Knights ex-coach took many of his important assistants to the NFL. The new coach, offensive coordinator, and defensive coordinator have no experience at their respective positions, and they are playing their first "real" game of the year, and it's on the road.
Even with Schiano, this team would have had difficulty scoring tonight. Without him, that task will be even more difficult.
The pick tonight: USF Bulls.
The obvious pick tonight in the totals is the under. The totals line has been dropping. Sometimes the obvious is too obvious. I'll stay away from the over/under tonight.
Tomorrow: My main man, Mike Leach leads his WSU squad against UNLV. See you then!
What they didn't mention is the vast difference tonight in coaching experience.
USF has a very good coach in Skip Holtz, with an experienced coaching staff on both the offensive and the defensive sides of the ball.
Rutgers lost a VERY GOOD coach in Schiano, and the Scarlet Knights ex-coach took many of his important assistants to the NFL. The new coach, offensive coordinator, and defensive coordinator have no experience at their respective positions, and they are playing their first "real" game of the year, and it's on the road.
Even with Schiano, this team would have had difficulty scoring tonight. Without him, that task will be even more difficult.
The pick tonight: USF Bulls.
The obvious pick tonight in the totals is the under. The totals line has been dropping. Sometimes the obvious is too obvious. I'll stay away from the over/under tonight.
Tomorrow: My main man, Mike Leach leads his WSU squad against UNLV. See you then!
Monday, September 10, 2012
The #EDGY #Awards: #CollegeEdge Week2 Honors
Most Surprising EDGY Award goes to the state of Arizona, as two teams the College Edge thought would suck this year, came out and destroyed their opponents. Arizona St. crushed an Illinois team without their starting QB, but, that should've been more competitive, and, the Rich Rodriquez-coached Arizona Wildcats blew out the road favorite, and last year's #2/#3 team, the Ok.St. Cowboys. As opposed to his stint in Michigan, Rodriquez may have found a nice home in Tucson.
Most Disappointing EDGY Award: Goes to Vanderbilt. I think coach Franklin is doing a nice job with the Commodores, but, it is so darn hard for bottom dwellers like Vandy to break out of that losing culture. The team loses a tough game to South Carolina, and then comes back Saturday to lose to Northwestern. It's a game Vandy should've won, and it'll be interesting to see whether the team comes back or spirals out of control.
Most Baffling EDGY Award: I went to Temple; I want Temple to win(and cover) every game; I've vowed never to recommend against my school; BUT: how the heck was Temple favored over Maryland? Maryland was in serious revenge after last year's blowout loss, the Terps had more returning starters, and Maryland has a coach in Randy Edsall who is one of the better spread coaches in college football.
Most Impressive EDGY Award: The Pac10 kicking butt out on the west coast almost won this EDGY award, but, the most impressive EDGY award goes to the team I picked to win the Big 12, the Kansas St. Wildcats. I picked KSU over Miami in one of my early recommendations because I thought the 'Cats were clearly better than the 'Canes. I did not believe they were THAT much better. KSU will be tough this year!
Most Disappointing EDGY Award: Goes to Vanderbilt. I think coach Franklin is doing a nice job with the Commodores, but, it is so darn hard for bottom dwellers like Vandy to break out of that losing culture. The team loses a tough game to South Carolina, and then comes back Saturday to lose to Northwestern. It's a game Vandy should've won, and it'll be interesting to see whether the team comes back or spirals out of control.
Most Baffling EDGY Award: I went to Temple; I want Temple to win(and cover) every game; I've vowed never to recommend against my school; BUT: how the heck was Temple favored over Maryland? Maryland was in serious revenge after last year's blowout loss, the Terps had more returning starters, and Maryland has a coach in Randy Edsall who is one of the better spread coaches in college football.
Most Impressive EDGY Award: The Pac10 kicking butt out on the west coast almost won this EDGY award, but, the most impressive EDGY award goes to the team I picked to win the Big 12, the Kansas St. Wildcats. I picked KSU over Miami in one of my early recommendations because I thought the 'Cats were clearly better than the 'Canes. I did not believe they were THAT much better. KSU will be tough this year!
#CollegeEdge Comp. Picks:NFL and MLB! Now!
The College Edge and our MLB and NFL handicapper give out the following complimentary picks tonight:
MLB: Giants over Colorado( with starting pitchers listed)
Padres over St.Louis( with starting pitchers listed)
NFL: Oakland Raiders
MLB: Giants over Colorado( with starting pitchers listed)
Padres over St.Louis( with starting pitchers listed)
NFL: Oakland Raiders
#CollegeEdge's Week 2 in College Football
The College Edge week got off to a disappointing start, as we went 0-3 on Thursday and Friday nights. We kicked it off taking the Pitt Panthers over Cincinnati and the over in the same game. Our three-pick slide continued Friday with a relatively tough loss when we took Utah over Utah St.( Utes scored in OT, but, the TD was disallowed on an interference, AFTER, I celebrated, loudly).
If you're interested in knowing what a pressure-packed situation is in handicapping, it's going into a college football Saturday, 0-3.
While tempted to maybe hold back on some picks, we gave out every pick we worked on, and man, did we respond.
It started with the Noon picks, and my proudest of those was my KSU win over Miami. Bill Snyder, arguably the greatest college coach of all time, did it again for me. We had nervous moments in the Auburn-MissSt under the totals pick, but, that won, and, depending on what line you received, +3 or +3.5, our UConn selection was either a win, or, a push. Edgysam got a push.
Our next set of picks came at 4:00p.m., and we again had two winners. We went with Wake Forest(expd. QB and a coach who is great as a home-dog) and USF. Both games were trending negatively at times, but, both came through, big-time!
Our next play was in a SEC/Big 12 intersectional contest(at least, that's what it should have been had one of the two teams involved appreciated the traditions and strength of the conference they just left). We took the same team we gave out as our national title champ in the first week, the Georgia Bulldogs.
Despite suspensions, it was EdgySam's feeling that the Bulldog offense was still very strong, and their interior front seven on defense was still an outstanding unit. The Dawgs pulled away in the second half to win 41-20.
We lost our final recommendation of the day, when we picked and lost on Illinois. Much to my regret, the site I use for injury reports had QB Scheelhause as questionable. He did not play. Whether I would've picked that game differently had I known, prior to releasing Illinois, that their QB was hurt is something I cannot answer. What I can say is, despite going 5-0 going into that game, and possibly going undefeated on the day, I went to sleep disgusted.
What made the day even better were the teams and plays I mentioned on my phone line that I didn't feel were quite there for recommendations, but, were worth smaller investments. THEY ALL WON!
Those smaller recommendations were:
Maryland(could not figure out how my school was a 10-point favorite)
South Carolina
UCF
FresnoSt
It was nice day for the CollegeEdge and EdgySam, and it was one disappointing loss away from being an undefeated one!
If you're interested in knowing what a pressure-packed situation is in handicapping, it's going into a college football Saturday, 0-3.
While tempted to maybe hold back on some picks, we gave out every pick we worked on, and man, did we respond.
It started with the Noon picks, and my proudest of those was my KSU win over Miami. Bill Snyder, arguably the greatest college coach of all time, did it again for me. We had nervous moments in the Auburn-MissSt under the totals pick, but, that won, and, depending on what line you received, +3 or +3.5, our UConn selection was either a win, or, a push. Edgysam got a push.
Our next set of picks came at 4:00p.m., and we again had two winners. We went with Wake Forest(expd. QB and a coach who is great as a home-dog) and USF. Both games were trending negatively at times, but, both came through, big-time!
Our next play was in a SEC/Big 12 intersectional contest(at least, that's what it should have been had one of the two teams involved appreciated the traditions and strength of the conference they just left). We took the same team we gave out as our national title champ in the first week, the Georgia Bulldogs.
Despite suspensions, it was EdgySam's feeling that the Bulldog offense was still very strong, and their interior front seven on defense was still an outstanding unit. The Dawgs pulled away in the second half to win 41-20.
We lost our final recommendation of the day, when we picked and lost on Illinois. Much to my regret, the site I use for injury reports had QB Scheelhause as questionable. He did not play. Whether I would've picked that game differently had I known, prior to releasing Illinois, that their QB was hurt is something I cannot answer. What I can say is, despite going 5-0 going into that game, and possibly going undefeated on the day, I went to sleep disgusted.
What made the day even better were the teams and plays I mentioned on my phone line that I didn't feel were quite there for recommendations, but, were worth smaller investments. THEY ALL WON!
Those smaller recommendations were:
Maryland(could not figure out how my school was a 10-point favorite)
South Carolina
UCF
FresnoSt
It was nice day for the CollegeEdge and EdgySam, and it was one disappointing loss away from being an undefeated one!
Saturday, September 8, 2012
#CollegeEdge Handicaps #Illinois-ASU
Why did the Arizona St. line move from -2 to -6? The Wildcats have a new, freshman QB, they lost an all-Pac10 center from the '11 team, and despite the return of a 1000 yard-rusher, they have less than 1 starter back in the receiving corps.
A poor SunDevil, 2011 defense returns only 4 starters, and I don't consider any of those 4 returnees above average at their respective positions.
Illinois has an experienced QB in Scheelhause, and the much better defense.
My ratings tell me the wrong team is favored.
Illinois is the last pick of what has been a pretty good handicapping day!!!!
A poor SunDevil, 2011 defense returns only 4 starters, and I don't consider any of those 4 returnees above average at their respective positions.
Illinois has an experienced QB in Scheelhause, and the much better defense.
My ratings tell me the wrong team is favored.
Illinois is the last pick of what has been a pretty good handicapping day!!!!
#WhataDay: First, it's Georgia vs. Missouri
Despite the suspensions, the Bulldogs still have a great QB in Murray, an emerging star at RB Marshall, and a nice receiving corps. They still have a tremendous interior defense, with a returning Lb in Jones who had an incredible 13.5 sacks in '11!
Missouri is missing important players, too, including 1500 yard-rusher, Henry Josey., and two offensive linemen.
And, let's not forget the Bulldogs represent the SEC. That's worth points by itself.(Also, coach Richt good as a road favorite.
Georgia's the pick, and, here's hoping the Tigers get their hides handed to them tonight.
Missouri is missing important players, too, including 1500 yard-rusher, Henry Josey., and two offensive linemen.
And, let's not forget the Bulldogs represent the SEC. That's worth points by itself.(Also, coach Richt good as a road favorite.
Georgia's the pick, and, here's hoping the Tigers get their hides handed to them tonight.
Friday, September 7, 2012
#CollegeEdge's Pick in Miami-KSU Contest
I have two of my favorite coaches going in this game. Al Golden, coach of Miami's Hurricanes, turned around my Temple Owls, and I will always be grateful to him for what many considered an impossible task. Coach Bill Snyder, probably my favorite college coach of all time, has led his KSU program from the absolute depths of college football. There might be an argument that Snyder turned around THE worst college football program into one of the better programs in the FBS.
With that as background, I am really looking forward to this 12:00 game tomorrow.
Miami had a surprisingly effective game last week vs. Boston College. I don't think they'll repeat that effort tomorrow at one of the toughest venues in which a visiting team has to play, Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas( no coach deserves to have a stadium named after him more).
KSU has a two-way threat at QB in Klein, a formidable running game, 3.5 starters back in the receiving corps and 7 starters back on defense.
Despite the Hurricane win last week, they are inexperienced at QB and at the rest of their offense, and, more importantly, I believe they are inexperienced on defense, which will be costly in that they are playing against a QB that can beat you with both his running(Klein gained 1440 yards rushing last year!) and passing.
The Kansas State Wildcats are the pick.
With that as background, I am really looking forward to this 12:00 game tomorrow.
Miami had a surprisingly effective game last week vs. Boston College. I don't think they'll repeat that effort tomorrow at one of the toughest venues in which a visiting team has to play, Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas( no coach deserves to have a stadium named after him more).
KSU has a two-way threat at QB in Klein, a formidable running game, 3.5 starters back in the receiving corps and 7 starters back on defense.
Despite the Hurricane win last week, they are inexperienced at QB and at the rest of their offense, and, more importantly, I believe they are inexperienced on defense, which will be costly in that they are playing against a QB that can beat you with both his running(Klein gained 1440 yards rushing last year!) and passing.
The Kansas State Wildcats are the pick.
#CollegeEdge Handicaps #N.C.St vs. #UConn
As I mention on many occasions, I try to do ratings on every FBS team. I start those rartings in early July. I estimate I spend about 40 minutes per team. Do the math, and you'll see I put in about 75 hours on my ratings leading up to the season.
Ratings are one of the key tools I use when I handicap a game.
In tomorrow's contest between N.C.St and Connecticut, my ratings on each team are a big factor in my selection. UConn is the higher rated team , according to my rating system, and as an extra bonus, they are at home as an underdog.
If UConn wins tomorrow it will have to be with a solid running game, which they can accomplish with 1000 yard-rusher McCoombs, minimal mistakes from young QB Whitmer, and a tough defense, which they are capable of playing with 8+ returning starters on defense.
Other factors I hope are in my favor are the facts coach O'Brien is very good as a coach "against the spread," but, not so as an away favorite. He's rarely put in that role, and when he has been at N.C.St, he's 0-4 in that spot. Conversely, coach Pasqualoni of UConn, in his previous coaching role at Syracuse, was one of the top spread coaches of his time. In his second year at UConn, I'm hoping, and expecting, similar spread results.
I'm taking the higher rated team, and the squad that comes into this game as a home underdog: the UConn Huskies!
Ratings are one of the key tools I use when I handicap a game.
In tomorrow's contest between N.C.St and Connecticut, my ratings on each team are a big factor in my selection. UConn is the higher rated team , according to my rating system, and as an extra bonus, they are at home as an underdog.
If UConn wins tomorrow it will have to be with a solid running game, which they can accomplish with 1000 yard-rusher McCoombs, minimal mistakes from young QB Whitmer, and a tough defense, which they are capable of playing with 8+ returning starters on defense.
Other factors I hope are in my favor are the facts coach O'Brien is very good as a coach "against the spread," but, not so as an away favorite. He's rarely put in that role, and when he has been at N.C.St, he's 0-4 in that spot. Conversely, coach Pasqualoni of UConn, in his previous coaching role at Syracuse, was one of the top spread coaches of his time. In his second year at UConn, I'm hoping, and expecting, similar spread results.
I'm taking the higher rated team, and the squad that comes into this game as a home underdog: the UConn Huskies!
#CollegeEdge Picks #Utah-UtahSt. Contest
Utah has an experienced returning offense, with an experienced QB in Jordan Wynn to handle the pressures of a hostile road environment. USU lost over 2000 yards in rushing yards from last year(Turlin: 1517; Smith 870) and a #2 Draft Choice at the LB position. 1st team WAC LB Wagner had 147 tackles last year! Aggies are also without the other effective QB coach Anderson uses, Adam Kennedy. He's suspended and his loss will also be felt( he threw for 970 yards, 11 tds.and a 69% completion rate in '11, and is considered the more pure passer in contrast to the talented Keeton). I don't think a USU will overcome those losses when playing a talented team like Utah.
Utah's Utes are the pick.
For those interested, if Noon picks tomorrow aren't listed here later tonight, call 267-752-3343 at 11:45a.m., Saturday morning for my complimentary selections.
Utah's Utes are the pick.
For those interested, if Noon picks tomorrow aren't listed here later tonight, call 267-752-3343 at 11:45a.m., Saturday morning for my complimentary selections.
Thursday, September 6, 2012
#TheCollegeEdge: #Pitt vs.#Cincy Picks
Take the Pitt Panthers to cover over Cincy Bearcats: Since neither defense is that dominant, I'm taking the team with the much more experienced offense, the Panthers, led by running back, Ray Graham.
Take the over in the same game. These mediocre defenses will be scored upon.
Take the over in the same game. These mediocre defenses will be scored upon.
How the #CollegeEdge Approaches its Weekly Picks
Last year, the College Edge made a significant decision: no longer would yours truly try to work every stinking game on the schedule. In years past, I'd see how many games were on the schedule. If there were 35 games, I might eliminate five of those games to handicap. I would then attempt to handicap every one of those remaining games. God forbid I missed a game! By the Saturday night of each week, I'd be mentally and physically exhausted. I decided my approach to each new week of handicapped games had to change. This is how it happened.
In 2011, I decided I would give my total attention to each of the weeknight games that kick off each week of college football games. If there was a Wednesday night game scheduled, I worked it. If there were two Thursday night games scheduled, I worked them. If a Friday night ESPN game capped off the weeknight activity, I gave it my handicapping attention.
I would then try to finish all of the early games scheduled for the upcoming Saturday before going to sleep on Friday night. As most of you know, the Noon time slot on Saturdays is peppered with 5 to 7 scheduled games. My goal each week is to complete those games.
Then, my goal for the rest of college football Saturday is to attempt to work one game per hour. If games are scheduled at 1:00p.m.(an unusual start time), I try to work one of them; if games are scheduled at 2:00p.m., I try to work one of them; if a game is scheduled in the 3:00p.m. time slot, I try to work it. And so on it goes throughout a Saturday schedule. The key word in these previous sentences is "try." If I have the time to work those games, I do so. If I don't, the handicapping world does not come to an end like it did in previous years.
Lat year, I can recall Saturdays where 5 games may have scheduled for a particular time slot. I have ratings and stats ready for each of those games. What game do I choose to handicap? I'd simply put the games in a proverbial hat and randomly pick the game I'd work on. It was fun. It was relaxing. I didn't favor one game over another to work on. And, it worked.
I had the best year I ever had for my clients, going 46-17 during the regular season. I will approach each week's schedule this year in the same way.
In 2011, I decided I would give my total attention to each of the weeknight games that kick off each week of college football games. If there was a Wednesday night game scheduled, I worked it. If there were two Thursday night games scheduled, I worked them. If a Friday night ESPN game capped off the weeknight activity, I gave it my handicapping attention.
I would then try to finish all of the early games scheduled for the upcoming Saturday before going to sleep on Friday night. As most of you know, the Noon time slot on Saturdays is peppered with 5 to 7 scheduled games. My goal each week is to complete those games.
Then, my goal for the rest of college football Saturday is to attempt to work one game per hour. If games are scheduled at 1:00p.m.(an unusual start time), I try to work one of them; if games are scheduled at 2:00p.m., I try to work one of them; if a game is scheduled in the 3:00p.m. time slot, I try to work it. And so on it goes throughout a Saturday schedule. The key word in these previous sentences is "try." If I have the time to work those games, I do so. If I don't, the handicapping world does not come to an end like it did in previous years.
Lat year, I can recall Saturdays where 5 games may have scheduled for a particular time slot. I have ratings and stats ready for each of those games. What game do I choose to handicap? I'd simply put the games in a proverbial hat and randomly pick the game I'd work on. It was fun. It was relaxing. I didn't favor one game over another to work on. And, it worked.
I had the best year I ever had for my clients, going 46-17 during the regular season. I will approach each week's schedule this year in the same way.
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