Completed the College Edge ratings for San Diego St. and Air Force. The Aztecs were the higher rated team for their road contest Thursday night. So, that's one factor in favor of the the road team, but, certainly not enough to make a recommendation.
Against defenses similar to the talent at Air Force, SDSU has run the ball effectively, led by their returning 1400 yard rusher in 2012, Adam Muema. What's also helped immensely is the contribution of another 100 yard per game rusher, Pumphrey.
QB Kaehler has also done a surprisingly good job leading the Aztec offense.
But, the main reason I like San Diego St. on Thursday night is the defense of the Aztecs. They have 8 starters back on defense. That's important, because you need experience when facing a service academy option offense. But, what's even more important, is Rocky Long is the coach of SDSU, and coach Long has immense experience, and success against option offenses. Don't forget, he was the very successful head of the New Mexico program, which faced Air Force, and their vaunted option attack, almost every year. He's been the Aztec coach three year , and this is the third consecutive year facing the Falcons.
Based on the talent level returning this year, and, the experience of the Aztec squad in facing the unique Falcon team, I pick San Diego State to win and cover in their Thursday night,Mountain West contest vs, Air Force.
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