In the #Missouri vs.#SouthCarolina game, my college edge ratings will govern my selection. I believed before the season this would be a difficult year for the Tigers after such a great performance last year. They lost an experienced QB, a 1000-yard rusher, their top 3 receivers, 20+sacks in the defensive line and both cornerbacks(Gaines was a 2nd team AA!). That's too much to lose vs. a team that I think still has a chance to win the SEC East. It doesn't hurt that the Ball Coach, Steve Spurrier, is very good in the role of home favorite.
Take South Carolina
Oregon St. is 3-0, but, they've gotten their wins vs. Potland ST, Hawaii, and SDSU. None of the those teams could expose the losses the Beavers experienced from their '13 squad. Oregon St. won't run the ball vs. USC, and they don't have the weapons in the passing game to to make up the difference like they did in '13.USC will run the ball vs.OrSU, and with the loss of a 2x Pac12 CB, I believe they will pass the ball as well. Throw in the fact the Trojans were embarrassed the last time out on national TV by BC, and let's say I'm very happy the public seems to betting Oregon State.
Take the USC Trojans.
Saturday, September 27, 2014
@EdgySam: #WakeForest vs. #Louisville, #ThePick
@EdgySam likes to look at bad teams as well looking for good teams. I think Wake Forest will prove to be the worst team in the ACC, if not one of the worst teams in the FBS. The Demon Deacons only ran for 100 yards vs. Army and ran for -25 yards vs. Utah St. When Louisville stops Wake's running game, which I believe they will, they have almost no strength in their passing attack.
It will not help Wake's cause that they only have 1.5 starters back in the defensive interior. Innovative HC of Cardinals, Bobby Petrino, will exploit the Demon Deacons' weaknesses.
Not worried about the spread. Take Louisville.
It will not help Wake's cause that they only have 1.5 starters back in the defensive interior. Innovative HC of Cardinals, Bobby Petrino, will exploit the Demon Deacons' weaknesses.
Not worried about the spread. Take Louisville.
Friday, September 26, 2014
@EdgySam: #Northwestern vs. #PSU, The Pick
It's about time #Northwestern steps up and plays up to the level I thought they would play at before the season started. I have the Wildcats rated higher than the Nits, and they come into the Big 10 contest as an underdog, a nice situation for EdgySam.
NW has more starters back than PSU, including an experienced QB, all of their '13 O-Line starters and an experienced defense, highlighted by all four starters back in the defensive backfield.
Nice final touch is HC Fitzgerald rises to occasion in road games, posting a winning record vs. spread as a road underdog.
In our only Noon play, take Northwestern.
NW has more starters back than PSU, including an experienced QB, all of their '13 O-Line starters and an experienced defense, highlighted by all four starters back in the defensive backfield.
Nice final touch is HC Fitzgerald rises to occasion in road games, posting a winning record vs. spread as a road underdog.
In our only Noon play, take Northwestern.
#FresnoState vs. #NewMexico: The Pick
New Mexico gave up 7.5 y.p.c. and 330 yards rushing vs. UTEP. Wow. ASU got 423 yards rushing vs. Lobos at 8.8 y.p.c., and gave up 35 points to New Mexico St in a 3-point win. That is a horrible defense.
Fresno St. has 3 big losses as well, but, at least they lost to USC, Utah, and Nebraska, three good programs.
The Bulldogs have a new QB this year, after losing the spectacular Derek Carr, but the replacement is an experienced transfer from Duke. They have a solid trio of RBs back from last year, and 8.5 starters back from '13 defense.
The higher rated team, according to my CollegeEdge ratings, and the team with the winning history is the pick.
Take Fresno State Bulldogs
Fresno St. has 3 big losses as well, but, at least they lost to USC, Utah, and Nebraska, three good programs.
The Bulldogs have a new QB this year, after losing the spectacular Derek Carr, but the replacement is an experienced transfer from Duke. They have a solid trio of RBs back from last year, and 8.5 starters back from '13 defense.
The higher rated team, according to my CollegeEdge ratings, and the team with the winning history is the pick.
Take Fresno State Bulldogs
Thursday, September 25, 2014
#UCLA vs. #ASU: The Pick
UCLA may not have Hundley at QB, but, the big loss in this game is the loss of ASU's returning QB, Taylor Kelly. His loss may be bigger tonight because of the paucity of returning starters from the Sun Devil squad. His experience was key with the loss of so many '13 starters.
In addition to the loss of QB Kelly, ASU has only 2 starters back on defense! HC Graham is a very good coach, but, I feel he has too much to overcome in what is somewhat of a revenge game for the Bruins( ASU beat UCLA in Rose Bowl last year, 38-33).
Believe it, or not, I'd like to see Hundley play, but, not overly concerned if he does not play.
UCLA is the pick. In a smaller play, take the under in the same game.
In addition to the loss of QB Kelly, ASU has only 2 starters back on defense! HC Graham is a very good coach, but, I feel he has too much to overcome in what is somewhat of a revenge game for the Bruins( ASU beat UCLA in Rose Bowl last year, 38-33).
Believe it, or not, I'd like to see Hundley play, but, not overly concerned if he does not play.
UCLA is the pick. In a smaller play, take the under in the same game.
#TexasTech vs. #OklahomaState: The Pick
No letdown factor tonight, so #Edgysam goes to his CollegeEdge ratings for support.
Texas Tech has the returning starter strength on offense, with QB Webb, almost a completely intact O-Line back and experience at both the RB and Receiver positions. If I have trouble tonight with the Red Raiders it will be because of their questionable defense.
What is heartening, if, like me, you are worried about the TT defense, is Oklahoma St. has almost no returning experience on offense. They had a little experience back at QB in Walsh, but, the Cowboys lost him to a season-ending injury. His replacement, Daxx Garman, wasn't even on the QB radar in 2013.
HC Gundy is one of the great spread coaches in the FBS, but, EdgySam, yours truly, has this game very closely contested, according to my team ratings.
Take Texas Tech, and buy the 1/2 pt if the spread is 14.
Texas Tech has the returning starter strength on offense, with QB Webb, almost a completely intact O-Line back and experience at both the RB and Receiver positions. If I have trouble tonight with the Red Raiders it will be because of their questionable defense.
What is heartening, if, like me, you are worried about the TT defense, is Oklahoma St. has almost no returning experience on offense. They had a little experience back at QB in Walsh, but, the Cowboys lost him to a season-ending injury. His replacement, Daxx Garman, wasn't even on the QB radar in 2013.
HC Gundy is one of the great spread coaches in the FBS, but, EdgySam, yours truly, has this game very closely contested, according to my team ratings.
Take Texas Tech, and buy the 1/2 pt if the spread is 14.
Saturday, September 20, 2014
@EdgySam: Three Picks at 8:00p.m.
Miami is the higher rated team according to my CollegeEdge ratings and they are the underdog in their game vs. Nebraska. Take Miami and hope RB Duke Johnson is the major contributor for the 'Canes.
In two smaller plays, yes, I believe the loss of QB Winston makes a difference in tonight's game. Clemson's defense will cause trouble for FSU's new QB Maguire. Not sure Clemson will win, but, take Tigers in a low scoring, close game.
Take Clemson and the under in the same game.
In two smaller plays, yes, I believe the loss of QB Winston makes a difference in tonight's game. Clemson's defense will cause trouble for FSU's new QB Maguire. Not sure Clemson will win, but, take Tigers in a low scoring, close game.
Take Clemson and the under in the same game.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)