I have Memphis rated higher than BYU under my CollegeEdge rating system. They should be favored in the game, and, inexplicably, line is at a pick.
BYU had a weak final schedule. Unduly influenced the line, in my opinion.
Take Memphis in a 1/2-unit play.
Monday, December 22, 2014
Saturday, December 20, 2014
@EdgySam: #AirForce vs. #WesternMichigan, #ThePick
Western Michigan hasn't seen an option attack in a while. That's baaaaaad. Air Force has beaten Boise, Navy, Nevada, SDSU, and CSU. Western Michigan won no big games.
Air Force was a 1-unit play for my complimentary crew.
Air Force was a 1-unit play for my complimentary crew.
@EdgySam: #Utah vs. #CSU, #ThePick
CSU Rams are in relative disarray with the departure of HC McElwain. I wish Utah's QB play was a little more dependable, but, I'll still take the better program and better athletes in this Pac-12/ MWC matchup.
I gave out the Utes in a 1/2-unit play.
I gave out the Utes in a 1/2-unit play.
@EdgySam: #UtahState vs. #Utep, #ThePick
It's 3:04p.m. I have no idea what the score of the game is between Utah St and UTEP. I gave out Utah St. in a 1-unit recommendation.
@EdgySam: #Nevada vs.#ULL, #ThePicks
All of today's opening day Bowl recommendations are on @EdgySam, a "working stiff" handicapper.
I have ULL rated higher than Nevada, so the Ragin' Cajuns are edgySam's pick. I have a lot of respect for Wolfpack QB Fajardo, so, instead of a 1-unit play on the higher rated team, I recommended a 1/2-unit play on ULL.
In the same game, two mediocre defenses are going against solid rushing attacks. Each team also has acceptable passing attacks. I like the over and gave a 1/2-unit recommendation on the over to my "cleeps."
I have ULL rated higher than Nevada, so the Ragin' Cajuns are edgySam's pick. I have a lot of respect for Wolfpack QB Fajardo, so, instead of a 1-unit play on the higher rated team, I recommended a 1/2-unit play on ULL.
In the same game, two mediocre defenses are going against solid rushing attacks. Each team also has acceptable passing attacks. I like the over and gave a 1/2-unit recommendation on the over to my "cleeps."
Tuesday, December 16, 2014
@EdgySam #WorkingStiff FBS Bowl Offer - 2014
The highlight of my Working Stiff Bowl Offer is I will refund the full $35.00 fee if you pay by money order, and $33.00 of the $35.00 fee if you pay by PayPal if I don't hit at least 52.96% of my recommendations!
The New York Post and Philly Daily News ran season-long contests for their sports staffs in which contestants picked a series of college football games each week. One Post writer went 114 - 93(55%).
Another went 109 - 98 ( 53% ). These are the only two of 15 collective contestants who would have shown a profit had they bet the same theoretical $10.00 on all of their picks.
Even more telling, Vegas Vic, the Daily News pro handicapper, a guy I respect, lost $450.00 on the regular season on an average investment of $50.00 per pick.
In a college/NFL contest last year, my NFL partner and I had to pick 14 plays per week. We finished 3rd at 57%+.
This year, in a college-only contest, where 16 of the 30 contestants would have finished in the red, I finished 6th with a winning % of 55.4%..
I mention these contests for one reason: it's not easy handicapping college football, no matter what those blowhards on those advertisements might yell at you.
When you sign up with this "working stiff," you'll get a dude who'll put every ounce of effort into trying to make your experience profitable and fun. I will work all the bowl games. I will work all sides and totals. I will make recommendations I expect you to follow. Here is how my recommendations will be given.
They will be given in 1/2- and 1-unit increments. A 1-unit play will count as one win, or, one loss against my total record. A 1/2-unit play will count as a .5 win, or, .5 loss against my total record.
Using the 1st game as an example, if I give you Nevada over ULL as a 1-unit recommendation, and the over in the same game as a 1/2 unit recommendation, and both win, your record after that game is 1.5 - 0! These recommendations will continue throughout the bowl season. In certain spots, I may recommend a 1.5 unit play on what I feel is a particularly strong play.
When Bowl season is over, if my winning % is 53% or higher, I keep the fee. If it's 52.95% or lower, I refund accordingly.
I prefer to text the picks. I also can e-mail them, if I have the time. If neither work for you, we'll figure something out.
You can sign up via PayPal right here at this site. Call 267-752-3343 or e-mail me if you'd like to go the money order route. I'd also recommend you visit my website at www.college-edge.com for investment and handicapping advice.
This Working Stiff is ready to go to work for you. I hope you'll sign up now!
Thanks, Sam ( www.twitter.com/edgysam)
The New York Post and Philly Daily News ran season-long contests for their sports staffs in which contestants picked a series of college football games each week. One Post writer went 114 - 93(55%).
Another went 109 - 98 ( 53% ). These are the only two of 15 collective contestants who would have shown a profit had they bet the same theoretical $10.00 on all of their picks.
Even more telling, Vegas Vic, the Daily News pro handicapper, a guy I respect, lost $450.00 on the regular season on an average investment of $50.00 per pick.
In a college/NFL contest last year, my NFL partner and I had to pick 14 plays per week. We finished 3rd at 57%+.
This year, in a college-only contest, where 16 of the 30 contestants would have finished in the red, I finished 6th with a winning % of 55.4%..
I mention these contests for one reason: it's not easy handicapping college football, no matter what those blowhards on those advertisements might yell at you.
When you sign up with this "working stiff," you'll get a dude who'll put every ounce of effort into trying to make your experience profitable and fun. I will work all the bowl games. I will work all sides and totals. I will make recommendations I expect you to follow. Here is how my recommendations will be given.
They will be given in 1/2- and 1-unit increments. A 1-unit play will count as one win, or, one loss against my total record. A 1/2-unit play will count as a .5 win, or, .5 loss against my total record.
Using the 1st game as an example, if I give you Nevada over ULL as a 1-unit recommendation, and the over in the same game as a 1/2 unit recommendation, and both win, your record after that game is 1.5 - 0! These recommendations will continue throughout the bowl season. In certain spots, I may recommend a 1.5 unit play on what I feel is a particularly strong play.
When Bowl season is over, if my winning % is 53% or higher, I keep the fee. If it's 52.95% or lower, I refund accordingly.
I prefer to text the picks. I also can e-mail them, if I have the time. If neither work for you, we'll figure something out.
You can sign up via PayPal right here at this site. Call 267-752-3343 or e-mail me if you'd like to go the money order route. I'd also recommend you visit my website at www.college-edge.com for investment and handicapping advice.
This Working Stiff is ready to go to work for you. I hope you'll sign up now!
Thanks, Sam ( www.twitter.com/edgysam)
Monday, December 8, 2014
Handicapping College Football - Easy?
The New York Post held a college football handicapping for its columnists, reporters and contributors. Six of the eight would have lost money if they had bet a theoretical $10.00 on every one of their selections.The winner went 114-93 on the year, a 55% winning percentage. Second place went to a contestant who went 109 - 98, a 52.6 winning percentage. Everyone else had a percentage that would have lost money.
The Philadelphia Daily News ran a similar contest. All seven Daily news staffers had percentages that would have lost them money had they invested $10.00 on every one of their picks.
Even more telling, Vegas Vic, the professional handicapper on the Daily news staff, lost $400.00 for the college football season. His average investment per recommendation was $50.00.
In a college football handicapping contest in which I was involved, there were 30 contestants. Sixteen finished with percentages that would have lost those contestants money had they invested $10.00 on all of their contest picks.(In last year's contest, which required 14 picks per week - 7 college, 7 pros - my NFL partner and I finished 3rd with a 57%+. In this year's contest, I finished 6th with 55.4%).
My point is handicapping is not as easy as some of those goofy radio advertisements would have you believe.
This week I will unveil my annual Bowl Offer. I happen to be a working stiff who works seven days a week at his day job. I have a couple true passions in my life, and handicapping college football is one of them. I work my ass off and I haven't given up the dream of making it big in the profession. I know that if you sign up for my upcoming Bowl Offer, I will give you a great chance to make a profit for the bowl season(I hit about 56% last Bowl Season) and I believe you'll have fun doing so.
My price will be inexpensive, and like last year, if I don't hit a certain percentage for my recommendations, over 93% percent of the fee will be refunded. YO, I hope you'll consider it! Thanks.
The Philadelphia Daily News ran a similar contest. All seven Daily news staffers had percentages that would have lost them money had they invested $10.00 on every one of their picks.
Even more telling, Vegas Vic, the professional handicapper on the Daily news staff, lost $400.00 for the college football season. His average investment per recommendation was $50.00.
In a college football handicapping contest in which I was involved, there were 30 contestants. Sixteen finished with percentages that would have lost those contestants money had they invested $10.00 on all of their contest picks.(In last year's contest, which required 14 picks per week - 7 college, 7 pros - my NFL partner and I finished 3rd with a 57%+. In this year's contest, I finished 6th with 55.4%).
My point is handicapping is not as easy as some of those goofy radio advertisements would have you believe.
This week I will unveil my annual Bowl Offer. I happen to be a working stiff who works seven days a week at his day job. I have a couple true passions in my life, and handicapping college football is one of them. I work my ass off and I haven't given up the dream of making it big in the profession. I know that if you sign up for my upcoming Bowl Offer, I will give you a great chance to make a profit for the bowl season(I hit about 56% last Bowl Season) and I believe you'll have fun doing so.
My price will be inexpensive, and like last year, if I don't hit a certain percentage for my recommendations, over 93% percent of the fee will be refunded. YO, I hope you'll consider it! Thanks.
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