2023 Mutual Fund

Here's how the Mutual Fund works: Invest 1 or 2 shares in the Fund at $50.00 per share( maximum of 2 shares per person). I'm able to invest up to 22 shares, but, my total shares contribution will be determined by how many people sign up. Yes, I will put my money where my mouth is! I do the handicapping work. I make the picks. I determine what units will be invested in each pick. Unit plays will fall into 4 possibilities: 1-unit; 1/2-unit; 1/4-unit and 1/5-unit. (A 1-unit play represents my strongest play). The most you can lose is the value of your share(s). Either 50.00 or 100.00. You cannot lose more. How much can you win? I make no guarantees, but, I'll work my ass off to have a successful year. If I'm blessed to have a good year, I will deduct 20% of each share's profits as payment for my work. My goal is to have picks announced prior to the start of games, but, that is not a guarantee. Sometimes I'm handicapping games right up until the start times. The picks will be given out within minutes of the game(s) starting, with the lines and units on each play. My goal is to start the Mutual Fund on September 28th, but, i reserve the option of starting it one week later. The Mutual Fund ends with the Army vs.Navy game, the unofficial end of the regular season. Payment shares will come soon after. Mutual Fund status will be updated every Tuesday of the regular season, once the fund officially starts. It should be a lot of fun and I tried to make the risk very small. If you sign up, I hope you enjoy it. Email me at sam@college-edge.com if you have any questions. You can make payment right here, at this site via PayPal or call 267-918-1064 if you'd like to arrange another mode of payment or, if you have any questions.

Saturday, September 20, 2014

@EdgySam: Three Picks at 8:00p.m.

Miami is the higher rated team according to my CollegeEdge ratings and they are the underdog in their game vs. Nebraska. Take Miami and hope RB Duke Johnson is the major contributor for the 'Canes.

In two smaller plays, yes, I believe the loss of QB Winston makes a difference in tonight's game. Clemson's defense will cause trouble for FSU's new QB Maguire. Not sure Clemson will win, but, take Tigers in a low scoring, close game.
Take Clemson and the under in the same game.

Friday, September 19, 2014

@EdgySam Picks in the Early #FBS Games

Maryland over Syracuse: The Terps are the higher rated team, and, as opposed to their first two games, come into this contest vs. Syracuse as an underdog. If you follow me and the CollegeEdge, you know I look for spots where the higher rated team comes into game as a dog. Orange are 2-0. They have their two wins vs. Villanova and Central Michigan. First tough matchup of the year for the home team.
Take Maryland. If spread is at +2.5, I would buy the .5 point.

Two smaller plays: Georgia over Troy. Troy lost a good QB from '13 squad. Freshman starts this year. Bulldogs will romp

Virginia Tech over Georgia Tech: Two of my favorite coaches go against each other. This is a CollegeEdge ratings pick. I have the Hokies rated considerably higher than the Yellow Jackets. VT has the better of the new QBs and they also have a quality I always look for when a defending the option: experience at the D-Back position. Hokies have all 4 starters back at the D-Back position. I have a tremendous amount of respect for G.T. coach Paul Johnson. He's the main reason I didn't put this pick in the Maryland category.

@Edgysam Picks: #UConn vs. #USF

This is a night where @edgysam will turn to his CollegeEdge ratings for a selection.
I have the home team Bulls as the higher rated team. According to my ratings, not knowing anything about how either team has played, I would have made USF a minimum of a 7-point favorite in the game. The problem is I do know how both teams have played, and both teams have been bad so far. I completely understand how this line could open at USF -4 and, so far, drop to -1.
But, USF does have an experienced offensive line(all 5 starters back), and a defense that at least showed some life vs. Maryland in a 17-24 loss. Plus, USF is home in the only game on the FBS schedule. The Bulls should be relatively pumped up.
Take USF, and in a smaller play, take the under in the same game.

Monday, September 15, 2014

@Edgysam Kicks Butt on Weeknights - Why?

Over the years, @Edgysam and the College Edge have had a lot of success handicapping the weeknight FBS schedule. Over those same years, I've tried to figure out why. One of the reasons was the simple fact the weeknight schedule includes only one or two games. It's nice to narrow your focus on only two to four teams.
My picks over this past weekend have opened my handicapping eyes to a more important reason why I do a pretty good job on weeknight games. I also think this sort of revelation will help me with weekend games as well.
I lost two picks this past weekend where the teams I selected were the much higher rated teams under my College Edge ratings: Virginia Tech and USC. The problem in both games, a problem I acknowledged, was both teams were coming off of gigantic wins the prior week: the Hokies over Ohio St.; the Trojans over Stanford. Any rational handicapper had to look at these two sides and seriously consider there might be a  letdown. I thought the ratings edges would overcome the letdown possibilities. I was wrong.
So, how did those two bad losses open my eyes to my Thursday successes and possibly help me in my future handicapping?
Weeknight games on ESPN or FoxSports are the highlight games of that night. Those college kids are the focal point of the entire nation. In some cases(like last week's game between LaTech and North Texas), it might be one of the only times any of these players will ever experience that kind of exposure.
The chances of a letdown on this national stage are far less likely than they would be on a schedule-crowded Saturday. In my opinion, the College Edge ratings I've developed over the years are more likely to hold true on weeknights. Letdowns are less likely to have an effect on those games.
On crowded weekend schedules, I have always considered intangibles like the letdown possibility, Henceforth, I need to give that even more consideration.

Saturday, September 13, 2014

@EdgySam Gives Out His 12:00p.m. Picks

Last week I didn't like any Noon-starting games, this week, I like FIVE. Well, the excitement starts early today. Here are my five plays:
Indiana: time to put up, or shut up. Lots of starters back, including good, experienced QBs
Maryland: tough matchup vs. West Virginia, but, Terps have loads of starters back, too.
UCF: I think Missouri is overrated.
Virginia: I have them rated higher than the favored team in this game.
Virginia Tech: East Carolina scary enough that I don't expect a letdown from the Ohio St. conquerors.

Friday, September 12, 2014

@EdgySam asks: Is #Baylor Spread Too High?

Probably.
I am no longer afraid of big spreads. There was a time when I'd automatically eliminate games with spreads of -20 or higher. What the hell was I thinking? As I wrote earlier this week, there are bargains to be found at every spread level.
Baylor will score tonight, and score a lot. Head Coach Art Briles is merciless as far as running up the score. They are facing a Buffalo defense, which lost one of the best defenders in all of college football last year, #1 DC, LB Khalil Mack, and which has only 4 total starters back on defense.
What's making me hesitant to give out Baylor (for now) is the fact Buffalo is home, and the Bulls have an experienced returning QB in Joe Liciata and an experienced offensive line. I am also a little alarmed by the 3-4 injuries in the wide receiver corps, including the loss of 3rd AA wr Antwan Goodley( of course, Bulls defense might not be able to do anything about those string of injuries).
Right now, edgysam thinks this line might be a little too high, but, I have plenty of time to reconsider.

Thursday, September 11, 2014

#EdgySam Pick in #LaTech vs. #NorthTexas #AAC Game

@Edgysam gets a #GoldSheet every week. I have a library of them going back to 1980! I have the utmost respect for the knowledge the Gold Sheet imparts. I don't use their weekly picks for my picks, but, I read everything I can on their sheets to see if they write about something I may have missed.
Tonight, the sheet gave me two things to consider I missed: North Texas' success, recently, at home vs. the spread, and, the fact Louisiana Tech is playing their third consecutive road game in the short span of 12 days, an unusual way to start a new season.
Those facts, plus the large drop from +6.5 to +3, will keep me from making Louisiana Tech a major play. I have both teams' college edge ratings almost exactly the same.
The Gold Sheet weekly publication picked North Texas. My major disagreement with that pick was the new, efficient QB play of LaTech's Cody Sokol. He is the 56th rated QB coming out of his HS class, and an Iowa transfer. This type of highly rated QB rarely plays on a program like LaTech's. The quality of QB has improved immeasurably from '13! The Gold Sheet never mentioned Sokol in its synopsis.
Take Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and keep an eye out for a very special talent at RB: Kenneth Dixon