TWO STAR RECOMMENDATION ON OREGON
COME RIGHT FOR MY REASONINGS ON THIS PLAY
Saturday, December 4, 2010
Friday, December 3, 2010
YOUR 12:00P.M. RECOMMENDATIONS
PITT AT CINCY: Let me keep this simple: how the heck is Cincy favored in this game? Pitt WILL run the ball and pass the ball on a porous Cincy defense. Cincy will have difficulty rushing the ball on a tough Pitt rush defense. I'm guessing if somebody out there thinks Cincy should be favored, it might be because of the QB play of Cincy's Collaros. The trouble is Pitt has played very good pass defense this year. Look, one of the fears I have is Pitt is so disappointed by last week's loss that they come with nothing. I just don't see that happening. If they can win, Pitt is still theoretically alive in the Big East race.
PITT IN A ONE STAR PLAY
RUTGERS AT WEST VIRGINIA: This is one of the worst Rutgers teams in years. West Virginia is still alive in the Big East, and I see no reason why they can't blow out a team that is now bad in every facet of the game. My one fear in this game is coach Schiano,in whom I have a great deal of respect. But, even his good coaching cannot overcome his horrible team.
WEST VIRGINIA IN ONE STAR PLAY
The totals line, in my opinion, is ridiculously low(approx. 44.5), mainly because of the involvement of a team in Rutgers that has an absolutely bad defense. I'll take the over in this situation every time.
ONE STAR PLAY ON THE OVER IN THE W.VA-RUTGERS CONTEST
ONE STAR PLAY ON THE UNDER IN THE SMU-UCF GAME.
PLEASE CALL AT 11:50AM FOR POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL 12:00P.M. PLAYS
PITT IN A ONE STAR PLAY
RUTGERS AT WEST VIRGINIA: This is one of the worst Rutgers teams in years. West Virginia is still alive in the Big East, and I see no reason why they can't blow out a team that is now bad in every facet of the game. My one fear in this game is coach Schiano,in whom I have a great deal of respect. But, even his good coaching cannot overcome his horrible team.
WEST VIRGINIA IN ONE STAR PLAY
The totals line, in my opinion, is ridiculously low(approx. 44.5), mainly because of the involvement of a team in Rutgers that has an absolutely bad defense. I'll take the over in this situation every time.
ONE STAR PLAY ON THE OVER IN THE W.VA-RUTGERS CONTEST
ONE STAR PLAY ON THE UNDER IN THE SMU-UCF GAME.
PLEASE CALL AT 11:50AM FOR POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL 12:00P.M. PLAYS
ILLINOIS AT FRESNO ST.
Fresno St. lost two defensive starters in the last two weeks, including a CB, and a defensive lineman. That doesn't bode well for a team that has to face a very strong running game in the Illinois team. Illinois should be able to move the ball freely vs. Fresno St.
I believe Fresno St. will come to play tonight, and if they do, they will have to lead with their offense. They do have a decent QB, and a decent running game. Illinois' defense has been good at times this year, but, in the last 3 games, they've given up 67, 38, and 27 points. I think Fresno's Bulldogs will score on the Illini.
ONE STAR PLAY ON THE OVER
I'm leaning slightly to Fresno St. in the game. I just can't see a Ron Zook-coached team as a 6 point favorite on the road in a non-conference game. The trouble is coach Pat Hill of Fresno St. has been surprisingly horrible as a home underdog(1-6 in the last five years). What the heck has happened to Pat Hill teams since that heart-breaking loss to USC some years back?
So, a slight lean toward Fresno St., but, no recommendation.
CALL 11:50A.M., SATURDAY MORNING FOR OUR RECOMMENDATIONS ON THE 12:00 GAMES.
I believe Fresno St. will come to play tonight, and if they do, they will have to lead with their offense. They do have a decent QB, and a decent running game. Illinois' defense has been good at times this year, but, in the last 3 games, they've given up 67, 38, and 27 points. I think Fresno's Bulldogs will score on the Illini.
ONE STAR PLAY ON THE OVER
I'm leaning slightly to Fresno St. in the game. I just can't see a Ron Zook-coached team as a 6 point favorite on the road in a non-conference game. The trouble is coach Pat Hill of Fresno St. has been surprisingly horrible as a home underdog(1-6 in the last five years). What the heck has happened to Pat Hill teams since that heart-breaking loss to USC some years back?
So, a slight lean toward Fresno St., but, no recommendation.
CALL 11:50A.M., SATURDAY MORNING FOR OUR RECOMMENDATIONS ON THE 12:00 GAMES.
Miami,Oh vs. Northern Illinois
I gave you No.Illinois early in the week as a two-star play.
Miami, Oh has a freshman starting at QB, and an average running game against N.I.'s pretty tough defense. Miami has a pretty decent defense.
Under the total in a ONE STAR PLAY.
RETURN AT 9:45P.M. FOR ILLINOIS-FRESNO ST.
Miami, Oh has a freshman starting at QB, and an average running game against N.I.'s pretty tough defense. Miami has a pretty decent defense.
Under the total in a ONE STAR PLAY.
RETURN AT 9:45P.M. FOR ILLINOIS-FRESNO ST.
Thursday, December 2, 2010
ASU AT ARIZONA: 8:00P.M.
Sometimes I look at a game, and think that the pick in the game is too obvious. Sometimes that obviousness scares me, but, I rarely let that deter me from making the pick. Tonight's game between ASU and Arizona, to me, falls into the obvious category. I will not let that obviousness deter me.
This is a rivalry game in which one team is already bowl eligible( Arizona), and the other needs a win tonight to become bowl eligible(ASU). Just because a team needs a win to become bowl eligible, does not mean I'll automatically go with that team as a recommendation. If the team that needs to win is clearly worse than the bowl eligible team, the must-win scenario means less to me. I don't consider ASU as the clearly worse team.
Consider that ASU played Wiscy(19-20) tough; they lost to Oregon by only 11. Arizona lost to the Ducks by 19;each lost to Oreg.St. by three or less; and ASU lost to USC and Stanford by a cumulative 4 points. ASU has played well, for the most part,this year.
I would also guess that Arizona expended a lot of heart and soul in last week's loss to Oregon. After all, they were actually ahead at halftime. Rivalry game, or not, I feel some kind of let-down may be in order tonight for the Wildcats, particularly since they know going into the game they have a bowl spot clinched. Again, if they felt this way against a WSU-type team, I'd say they'd be okay. But, they are playing a decent team in the Dennis Erickson-led Sun Devils. The spread is currently at -5.5 points, Arizona favored. I would buy the .5 point and make ASU a +6 pick.
TWO STAR PLAY ON THE ASU SUN DEVILS
In the last five years of this game, all five have gone under the present posted totals of 56. I won't fight that trend. No recommendation on the totals, but a lean to the under in this contest.
This is a rivalry game in which one team is already bowl eligible( Arizona), and the other needs a win tonight to become bowl eligible(ASU). Just because a team needs a win to become bowl eligible, does not mean I'll automatically go with that team as a recommendation. If the team that needs to win is clearly worse than the bowl eligible team, the must-win scenario means less to me. I don't consider ASU as the clearly worse team.
Consider that ASU played Wiscy(19-20) tough; they lost to Oregon by only 11. Arizona lost to the Ducks by 19;each lost to Oreg.St. by three or less; and ASU lost to USC and Stanford by a cumulative 4 points. ASU has played well, for the most part,this year.
I would also guess that Arizona expended a lot of heart and soul in last week's loss to Oregon. After all, they were actually ahead at halftime. Rivalry game, or not, I feel some kind of let-down may be in order tonight for the Wildcats, particularly since they know going into the game they have a bowl spot clinched. Again, if they felt this way against a WSU-type team, I'd say they'd be okay. But, they are playing a decent team in the Dennis Erickson-led Sun Devils. The spread is currently at -5.5 points, Arizona favored. I would buy the .5 point and make ASU a +6 pick.
TWO STAR PLAY ON THE ASU SUN DEVILS
In the last five years of this game, all five have gone under the present posted totals of 56. I won't fight that trend. No recommendation on the totals, but a lean to the under in this contest.
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