2023 Mutual Fund

Here's how the Mutual Fund works: Invest 1 or 2 shares in the Fund at $50.00 per share( maximum of 2 shares per person). I'm able to invest up to 22 shares, but, my total shares contribution will be determined by how many people sign up. Yes, I will put my money where my mouth is! I do the handicapping work. I make the picks. I determine what units will be invested in each pick. Unit plays will fall into 4 possibilities: 1-unit; 1/2-unit; 1/4-unit and 1/5-unit. (A 1-unit play represents my strongest play). The most you can lose is the value of your share(s). Either 50.00 or 100.00. You cannot lose more. How much can you win? I make no guarantees, but, I'll work my ass off to have a successful year. If I'm blessed to have a good year, I will deduct 20% of each share's profits as payment for my work. My goal is to have picks announced prior to the start of games, but, that is not a guarantee. Sometimes I'm handicapping games right up until the start times. The picks will be given out within minutes of the game(s) starting, with the lines and units on each play. My goal is to start the Mutual Fund on September 28th, but, i reserve the option of starting it one week later. The Mutual Fund ends with the Army vs.Navy game, the unofficial end of the regular season. Payment shares will come soon after. Mutual Fund status will be updated every Tuesday of the regular season, once the fund officially starts. It should be a lot of fun and I tried to make the risk very small. If you sign up, I hope you enjoy it. Email me at sam@college-edge.com if you have any questions. You can make payment right here, at this site via PayPal or call 267-918-1064 if you'd like to arrange another mode of payment or, if you have any questions.

Thursday, January 7, 2016

@EdgySam vs. #SagarinDifference...#TheBowls

USA Today has what they call the Sagarin Difference. In terms of college football, what the Sagarin Difference, developed by Jeff Sagarin, does is compare the regular betting line on a particular game with what Sagarin believes the line on the game should be.
As an example, in the National Championship game between Alabama and Clemson, the actual betting line is -7. The " Sagarin Difference " line is Alabama by -5.5.
If you follow the reasoning behind the Sagarin Difference line, based on Jeff Sagarin's power ratings, in my opinion, according to Sagarin, Clemson is the right side in the game.
In the whole bowl season, if you made your picks based on the actual betting lines of the bowl games, and Sagarin Difference line on all the bowl games, you would have gone 13 - 22 following the Sagarin Difference.
I missed about 4 games I did not have time to work on. Going head to head with the Sagarin Difference in the same exact games we both worked on, I went 19 - 16.
Why do I bring all this up? I respect Jeff Sagarin and the Sagarin Difference. Even so, a person solely following the Sagarin Differnce in relation to the real betting line would have gone 13-22 this Bowl Season. My point is quite simple: if you think it's easy picking winners during Bowl Season, or, any other time of the year, you are wrong.
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