It's as important to find teams that might be pretty bad as well as finding teams, like Georgia, that might be very good. Rice could be pretty bad this year.
I've always rooted for the Owls because they are a small school located in the talent rich state of Texas, and because they share a mascot with my school, Temple. Nevertheless, I think this could be a very trying year for Rice.
They have a mediocre, albeit returning, quarterback, little depth at the RB position, and only 1 starter back on the offensive line. That spells trouble. They have a nice corps of returning receivers, but, I'm pretty sure they will be a wasted commodity.
A pretty bad '11 defense returns only 5.5 starters. None are standouts, and, in fact, last year's two best defenders are gone.
If things were not bad enough, the Owls may have lost their most valuable asset from the '11 squad. Punter Kyle Martens averaged a net of 39.7 yards per punt! A team like Rice cannot afford the loss of any decent contributor, not to mention one of the country's best punters.
Handicapping angle: As much as I wish I could write otherwise, I think Rice should be a go-against team this year, particularly when they step up in class.
Saturday, July 28, 2012
#Georgia #Bulldogs Evaluated by the #CollegeEdge
Georgia's Bulldogs are definite contenders for this year's national title. With the possible exception of Arkansas QB Wilson(I believe the Hog QB would've been the SEC's best if Bobby Petrino was back), the Dawgs' QB Murray is the SEC's best QB. They have talent at the skill positions, led by RB Isaiah Crowell, the #2 rated RB coming out of HS in Keith Marshall, and tremendous depth throughout the RB and receiver positions.
The defense was very good last year. They will probably be better this year, as 15 of the top 16 interior defenders return to a 4-3 alignment that gave up only 101 yards rushing per game in '11. The gift of riches continues in the defensive backfield as 3 of 4 starters return to a unit that had only 50.7% of passes completed against them last year.
If it wasn't for that darn little complication of graduation, this team could've been a favorite in the SEC and the BCS. The one unit that could cause Georgia problems is the offensive line. Two All-Americans graduated from the center and left tackle positions, respectively, and the right tackle, a #7 draft choice, left as well. That's a dangerous amount of experience gone from such an important unit. Still, at 12-1 odds, and with a relatively easy schedule, Georgia is worth a very long look as BCS champ.
Handicapping angle: My fear is the linemakers know what I know concerning how good Georgia can be this year. The early lines will probably reflect that fact. So, even though I believe they will be a go-with team, be careful to avoid inflated lines involving the Dawgs.
The defense was very good last year. They will probably be better this year, as 15 of the top 16 interior defenders return to a 4-3 alignment that gave up only 101 yards rushing per game in '11. The gift of riches continues in the defensive backfield as 3 of 4 starters return to a unit that had only 50.7% of passes completed against them last year.
If it wasn't for that darn little complication of graduation, this team could've been a favorite in the SEC and the BCS. The one unit that could cause Georgia problems is the offensive line. Two All-Americans graduated from the center and left tackle positions, respectively, and the right tackle, a #7 draft choice, left as well. That's a dangerous amount of experience gone from such an important unit. Still, at 12-1 odds, and with a relatively easy schedule, Georgia is worth a very long look as BCS champ.
Handicapping angle: My fear is the linemakers know what I know concerning how good Georgia can be this year. The early lines will probably reflect that fact. So, even though I believe they will be a go-with team, be careful to avoid inflated lines involving the Dawgs.
Wednesday, July 25, 2012
#Houston #Cougars evaluated by #TheCollegeEdge
The architect of the explosive Houston Cougar offense, coach Kevin Sumlin, has moved on to Texas A&M. The triggerman of that offense, 4-yr. starter Case Keenum, has graduated. The recipient of that offense's largesse, the wide receivers, are all gone. Those receivers represented 43 receiving TDs! They do have a decent returning RB in Sims, but, they've lost most of the great depth they had last year at that position.
On defense, they lose 2 all-conference linebackers. They leave 16 sacks and 230 tackles behind! In my opinion, no outstanding defenders return from last year's decent defense.
Combine these tremendous losses with a coaching staff that has little experience(new head coach Tony Levine, has no HC experience, and was not a defensive or offensive coordinator, but, was promoted from his post as Special Teams coach), and '12 could prove to be a difficult one for the Cougars.
My hope is they blow-out Texas St.(who?) in the opener, and come into LaTech's game with an inflated opinion of themselves. Look to go against Houston this year.
On defense, they lose 2 all-conference linebackers. They leave 16 sacks and 230 tackles behind! In my opinion, no outstanding defenders return from last year's decent defense.
Combine these tremendous losses with a coaching staff that has little experience(new head coach Tony Levine, has no HC experience, and was not a defensive or offensive coordinator, but, was promoted from his post as Special Teams coach), and '12 could prove to be a difficult one for the Cougars.
My hope is they blow-out Texas St.(who?) in the opener, and come into LaTech's game with an inflated opinion of themselves. Look to go against Houston this year.
#Auburn #Tigers evaluated by #TheCollegeEdge
In 2010, when Gene Chizik and his Auburn Tigers won the National Title, I firmly believed Chizik was a complete product of a lucky find in QB Cam Newton, and, consequently, went along for the ride of his life in seeing his Tigers win it all.
Then last year, with a new QB, an almost completely rebuilt offensive line, an almost completely new receiving corps, and only 3.5 starters back on defense, I was thoroughly convinced Auburn would get their butts kicked throughout the '11 season. It didn't happen. They admittedly had some bad losses, but, they went 4-4 in the SEC( wins vs. Fla. and So.Caro), and defeated Virginia fairly easily in the Chick-fil-A bowl game. I believe Chizik did a better job last year with nothing back, then he did in Auburn's momentous, championship season.
Auburn's offense will be serviceable with a new QB, albeit a highly rated one in Frazier, and decent talent at the other areas of the offense.
Chizik, who made his rep on the defensive side of the ball, will see the strength of his team on that side of the ball. They have 9 starters back on defense, including all of the two-deep on the defensive line, and, both cornerbacks.
Gene Chizik did such a good job with his team last year, I have to give his squad a decent chance to have another pretty good team this year. Here is Chizik's problem: he may have a better team this year and his record may not show it. They play Clemson, Miss St., LSU, and Arkansas in four of the first five games on their schedule. If they can go 3-2 in their first five games, this could be a pretty good year for Chizik and the Auburn Tigers.
Then last year, with a new QB, an almost completely rebuilt offensive line, an almost completely new receiving corps, and only 3.5 starters back on defense, I was thoroughly convinced Auburn would get their butts kicked throughout the '11 season. It didn't happen. They admittedly had some bad losses, but, they went 4-4 in the SEC( wins vs. Fla. and So.Caro), and defeated Virginia fairly easily in the Chick-fil-A bowl game. I believe Chizik did a better job last year with nothing back, then he did in Auburn's momentous, championship season.
Auburn's offense will be serviceable with a new QB, albeit a highly rated one in Frazier, and decent talent at the other areas of the offense.
Chizik, who made his rep on the defensive side of the ball, will see the strength of his team on that side of the ball. They have 9 starters back on defense, including all of the two-deep on the defensive line, and, both cornerbacks.
Gene Chizik did such a good job with his team last year, I have to give his squad a decent chance to have another pretty good team this year. Here is Chizik's problem: he may have a better team this year and his record may not show it. They play Clemson, Miss St., LSU, and Arkansas in four of the first five games on their schedule. If they can go 3-2 in their first five games, this could be a pretty good year for Chizik and the Auburn Tigers.
Thursday, July 19, 2012
#MarshallThunderingHerd evaluated by #TheCollege-edge
Philadelphia Eagles fans probably know very little about #Marshall, right? Even though the Birds drafted the #ThunderingHerd's best player in '11, defensive end Vince Curry, I still can assure you most Eagles fans don't even know Curry played for #Marshall. Well, I know that he did play for the CUSA squad, and I do believe his loss will affect Marshall this year. A team with a limited amount of highly rated recruits can't help but be affected by the loss of a #2 draft choice. What's more troubling for the Herd defense is that they also lose two all-CUSA linebackers. Expect high scoring affairs when #Marshall plays this year. They gave up 28.5 points per game with Curry. What will they give up without him?
Marshall might still be able to outscore some opponents because of the strong(for a CUSA team) offense that returns. Eight starters are back on that side of the ball, including a decent returnee at QB(Cato), a decent O-Line(3 starters), and a nice nucleus of receivers. The part of this team that could elevate #Marshall to the upper echelon of the CUSA is their positive potential at RB. This program that produced Ahmad Bradshaw and Darius Marshall in recent years, has two good running backs returning. The real wild card that could elevate Marshall is the arrival of the 27th rated RB out of HS in '10, Miami transfer, freshman Kevin Grooms. If he runs with the same success as Bradshaw and Marshall, the Herd may warrant more of a look as the season progresses.
Marshall fans: don't be discouraged by the beating you will probably take in your opening game versus West Virginia. I think you'll be competitive in the CUSA.
Marshall might still be able to outscore some opponents because of the strong(for a CUSA team) offense that returns. Eight starters are back on that side of the ball, including a decent returnee at QB(Cato), a decent O-Line(3 starters), and a nice nucleus of receivers. The part of this team that could elevate #Marshall to the upper echelon of the CUSA is their positive potential at RB. This program that produced Ahmad Bradshaw and Darius Marshall in recent years, has two good running backs returning. The real wild card that could elevate Marshall is the arrival of the 27th rated RB out of HS in '10, Miami transfer, freshman Kevin Grooms. If he runs with the same success as Bradshaw and Marshall, the Herd may warrant more of a look as the season progresses.
Marshall fans: don't be discouraged by the beating you will probably take in your opening game versus West Virginia. I think you'll be competitive in the CUSA.
Wednesday, July 18, 2012
The College-edge evaluates the Florida Gators
The Florida Gators will have a tremendous defense this year. They have 9 starters back , including all four D-backs, and the top six linebackers. Let's not forget that their head coach, Will Muschamp, made his rep as as a very good defensive coordinator, so, I have little doubt that the Gator defense will give almost all their opponents trouble. (I will mention now that I also have doubts about Muschamp as a head coach. His success as an outstanding D-Coordinator may not mean he can handle the pressure-cooker the Florida head coach will always face).
It's their offense that I think prevents them from being a national contender. They have a pretty strong offensive line( four starters back), but, new starters at the running back positions( they lost versatile RBs in Demps and Rainey) and at QB, and, a fairly weak returning, receiving corps make the Gators an SEC question mark.
Keep in mind, the Gators still recruit great athletes(e.g.their projected starter at QB, Jeff Driskel, was the #1 QB recruit his senior year in HS), and will overpower their weaker opponents( I hope they, and every other SEC team kicks A&M's butt. The Gators play them Sept.8th). I just think their inexperienced offense will cost them in the SEC East and in the national title picture.
Their game against an under-rated Tennessee squad on Sept. 15th will be an important indicator for Gator success in 2012.
It's their offense that I think prevents them from being a national contender. They have a pretty strong offensive line( four starters back), but, new starters at the running back positions( they lost versatile RBs in Demps and Rainey) and at QB, and, a fairly weak returning, receiving corps make the Gators an SEC question mark.
Keep in mind, the Gators still recruit great athletes(e.g.their projected starter at QB, Jeff Driskel, was the #1 QB recruit his senior year in HS), and will overpower their weaker opponents( I hope they, and every other SEC team kicks A&M's butt. The Gators play them Sept.8th). I just think their inexperienced offense will cost them in the SEC East and in the national title picture.
Their game against an under-rated Tennessee squad on Sept. 15th will be an important indicator for Gator success in 2012.
College Team Evaluations Start Tonight!
I have completed 16 college football FBS, team ratings. I hope to write a short piece on all of the approximately 110 teams I will eventually work on. I spend about 40 minutes per team, but, will be short and succinct in my team evaluations.
The time I devote to each FBS program will result in each team's College-Edge rating. Though these ratings change on an almost weekly basis during the year, the approximately 75 hours of work I put in during the summer prepare me confidently for the upcoming season and for the short team evaluations that are coming at collegeedge.blogspot.com.
Feel free to respond to what I write, whether it's in agreement, or, to crticize.
I will start with the Florida Gators. I will then write about a team from a weak league, probably the WAC, then skip back to SEC, then back to the weaker league, and, so on. I think it's as important to know about the teams from weak leagues, as it is to write about teams from the elite leagues.
My communication with my valued readers starts tonight. It will include this blogging address; twitter(twitter.com/edgysam); and phillyrhymetime.com. I am exploring other places to write. Stay tuned.
I write this intro with the realization that this will probably not end until the end of January. I hope it's a nice ride.
The time I devote to each FBS program will result in each team's College-Edge rating. Though these ratings change on an almost weekly basis during the year, the approximately 75 hours of work I put in during the summer prepare me confidently for the upcoming season and for the short team evaluations that are coming at collegeedge.blogspot.com.
Feel free to respond to what I write, whether it's in agreement, or, to crticize.
I will start with the Florida Gators. I will then write about a team from a weak league, probably the WAC, then skip back to SEC, then back to the weaker league, and, so on. I think it's as important to know about the teams from weak leagues, as it is to write about teams from the elite leagues.
My communication with my valued readers starts tonight. It will include this blogging address; twitter(twitter.com/edgysam); and phillyrhymetime.com. I am exploring other places to write. Stay tuned.
I write this intro with the realization that this will probably not end until the end of January. I hope it's a nice ride.
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