I have a rating system I've worked on since the beginning of July, 2011. Every FBS team, with few exceptions, gets a rating from me. I consider every aspect of a team, and put a value on those parts of every team. I then factor in things like conference record, home-field, and more.
It is one of my key handicapping tools. I no longer let it completely govern my picks, but, it is still one of my main resources when I make my final decisions on a game.
I have Pitt as the higher rated team in this contest, and, if I were to put a line on this game, I would've made Pitt the favorite. They have an experienced defensive interior, decent DBacks, the best RB in the game in Graham, a formidable, and experienced QB in Sunseri, and the home-field in an ESPN game.
USF brings much to the table as well, not the least of which is a very good coach in Skip Holtz.
I just don't think the relatively weak schedule they've played to date(okay, N.Dame was a tough opponent, but, their stats in that game were less than impressive)which included Ball St, Fla.A&M and UTEP, warrants them being a favorite on the road vs. a very good Pitt team and program.
The Pitt Panthers are the pick in tonight's Big East contest!
Thursday, September 29, 2011
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